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SAHM RULE INDICATOR
US stock market triple-threat volatility: will today’s NFP data, Supreme Court tariff ruling, and Fed comments trigger extreme U.S. market volatility?Today, Friday, January 9, 2026, is shaping up to be one of the most significant collision days for U.S. markets in recent memory. Three pow...- The two signs stoking recession fears in US, and when it might beginThe US may be on the brink of a recession, with the Sahm Rule triggered by rising unemployment and an inverted Treasury yield curve. Expert...
- U.S heading for a recession? Top weird indicators that signal a recessionThe United States is slowly heading into a major recession, and there are multiple indicators that are pointing towards an impending recess...
- What happens in a recession? Here's how all Americans should prepare for itIs the United States heading for a recession? How should you prepare yourself to tackle the recession? Here's all you need to know.
- Recession fears: Is the Fed too late on rate cuts?The Federal Reserve has been slow to cut interest rates but remains effective in averting a recession. Market volatility and rising jobless...
- Sahm rule: My recession rule was meant to be broken, says Claudia SahmThe Sahm rule, which was triggered with Friday’s weaker-than-expected jobs report, joins a long list of economic tools skewed by the unusua...
- US recession imminent? Fears may be overstated, but not unfoundedFollowing a surprisingly weak jobs report for July, concerns about the US economy's resilience have emerged. The report showed slower hirin...
- US Recession 2024 fears: Is it happening? Here is what data revealsThe US stock market has hinted that fears over possible recession have gripped the sentiments across. Here are parametres that may help det...
- Claudia Sahm, the creator of recession indicator Sahm Rule says, the U.S is very close to recessionIs the world's largest economy very close to a recession, here's what economist Claudia Sahm has to say
- Unemployment rise spurs fears of slowdown, yet recession signals have been wrong - so farThe U.S. saw an unexpected rise in unemployment last month, causing market drops and renewed recession worries. Established recession indic...
- What is Sahm Rule, a recession indicator that has been triggered in the U.S; how does it affect you?The Sahm Rule is a valuable indicator for assessing economic conditions, particularly regarding unemployment trends, and serves as a guide ...
- U.S heading for a recession? Here are all the key indicators that point towards itDespite a 2.5% U.S. GDP growth, concerns about global economic impacts from China's slowdown have been rising for weeks.
- How did Melania react to Trump's assassination attempt? FBI clears up confusion on his injuriesDonald Trump revealed lately that he found it difficult to talk about how his assassination attempt on July 13 affected Melania. Although t...
- Gold price surge on weaker-than-expected US jobs reportThe US services sector faced an unexpected contraction in the last quarter, with the ISM services gauge dropping to 48.80, marking the fast...
- Are immigrants the secret to America's economic success?The author discusses the impact of immigration on the U.S. economy, emphasizing its positive contribution to economic growth. Despite conce...
- What’s the opposite of a jobless recovery? A jobful recessionThe more or less formal definition of a recession in the US is whatever the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the NBER, a nonprofit founde...
- Fed forecasts show fraying faith in soft landingThe Fed's latest quarterly summary of policymaker projections shows U.S. central bankers expect to raise the policy rate, now in the 3%-3.2...
- US GDP shrinks in second quarter. Is the nation in recession?USA-ECONOMY/RECESSION (UPDATE 1, EXPLAINER, GRAPHICS)EXPLAINER-U.S. GDP shrinks in second quarter. Is the nation in recession?
- Is the US in a recession? Jobs and GDP tell a different storyThe "two quarters" definition is handy for analysts, journalists and the general public. But it is not how economists think about business ...
- How do you define a recession? Let us count the waysA recession is often defined as two consecutive quarters where the economy shrinks instead of grows, but with plenty of caveats.
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