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MONSOON IMPACT FUEL
Can a weak monsoon slow India's economy? Here's what investors need to knowA 10% rain deficit could add as much as one-percentage-point to headline consumer inflation driven by food prices, according to research by...- Easing of West Asia conflict reduces downside risk to 6.6% growth forecast: Ram Singh, Director, Delhi School of EconomicsAny moderation in El Nino effects and resolution of geopolitical uncertainty will further reduce the downside risks to growth. Operationali...
- India Inc profit hit from West Asia tensions to halve if truce holds, Crisil saysCorporate India's profitability impact from the West Asia conflict is now expected to be half of initial fears, with Crisil Ratings predict...
- Weak monsoon raises food inflation concerns, but rate hike seen unlikelyEconomists are split on how a weak monsoon will affect food prices, with some believing falling oil prices will offset any hikes. Others wa...
- RBI in wait-and-watch mode, no certainty on rate hike: Governor Sanjay MalhotraReserve Bank of India Governor Sanjay Malhotra stated that an interest rate hike is premature, as inflation hasn't broadly impacted consume...
- Coal stocks at power plants seen at 42 MT as demand surgesCoal stocks at thermal power plants are projected to be around 42 million tonnes at the monsoon's onset, a dip from last year's 58 million ...
- RBI remains watchful of global, monsoon situation says Sanjay MalhotraThe Reserve Bank of India is adopting a cautious "wait and watch" approach regarding global geopolitical shifts and monsoon progress. Gover...
- RBI's Malhotra says rate hike talk is premature, stays in wait-and-watch modeReserve Bank Governor Sanjay Malhotra stated that a rate hike is premature, emphasizing the central bank's cautious, data-dependent approac...
- India's FY27 growth likely to slow down to 6.6% on energy stress, sub-par monsoon: S&PIndia's economic growth is projected to slow to 6.6% in the current fiscal year, according to S&P Global Ratings. This slowdown is attribut...
- RBI in wait-and-watch mode despite easing West Asia risks: Sanjay MalhotraDespite easing West Asian tensions, the RBI remains cautious, with Governor Sanjay Malhotra emphasizing data dependency over pre-set intere...
- Slowing rural incomes could weigh on consumer demand: Dhananjay SinhaHeadline rural wage growth in India is misleading, with underlying increases significantly lower than reported. Rising inflation, reverse m...
- Global economy remains fragile despite US-Iran truce, but India has buffers to weather shocks: RBIGlobal economic fragility persists despite a US-Iran truce, with risks of renewed inflation and supply disruptions if tensions re-escalate....
- RBI MPC minutes: Policy misstep fears drove rate pause amid West Asia uncertaintyThe Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee has opted for a cautious "wait and watch" stance, holding the repo rate steady due to...
- RBI MPC member Nagesh Kumar flags import dependence, Gulf remittances, El Nino risks in minutesIndia faces significant economic risks from the West Asia conflict, including potential disruptions to oil and fertilizer imports via the S...
- Oil below $80 may cap fuel price hikes, boost India outlookFalling crude oil prices below $80 a barrel are set to prevent further fuel price increases. This development is boosting India's economic ...
- Weak monsoon threat looms; food inflation fears riseAgriculture, though smaller in output share, still employs 43% of India's workforce, making monsoon performance crucial for rural demand an...
- US-Iran peace deal brings relief, but India turns to a risk at homeIndia just got a near-term macroeconomic breather from a US-Iran peace deal. However, early monsoon weakness and potential El Niño conditio...
- India's wholesale inflation at 9.68% in May under revamped series as Iran war-driven oil costs biteIndia’s wholesale inflation stood at 9.68% in May under a new series, with food and fuel prices remaining high amid ongoing US-Iran conflic...
- Inflation seen at 5% in FY27, 50-75 bps rate hikes likely as food and fuel risks build: ReportInflation is set to climb to 5.0 percent in FY27. Upside risks persist due to the West Asia conflict and a potential below-normal monsoon. ...
- India's retail inflation quickens to 3.93% in May amid high food & fuel pricesIndia's retail inflation rose to 3.93% in May. Food and fuel prices increased, impacting consumer costs. This marks the highest inflation r...
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