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2025 RECESSION FORECAST
US jobless aid filings rise to 229,000 last week, remain historically low despite Iran war headwindsAmerica's jobless claims saw a slight increase last week, yet remain historically low. This comes despite economic challenges linked to the...- Employers added 172,000 jobs last month as US job market shows resilience despite Iran warAmerica's job market is surprisingly strong. Employers added many jobs in May, and unemployment remains low. This hiring rebound is seen ac...
- Collapse is near: Trump's window to resolve Iran crisis closing fastWest Asia tensions are escalating, impacting global markets. Iranian attacks and US strikes near the Strait of Hormuz are disrupting oil su...
- OECD warns prolonged Middle East war could sharply slow global growthThe global economy faces uncertainty due to the Middle East conflict. The OECD warns of recession and rising inflation if the war continues...
- US job openings climbed to 7.6 million in April despite economic fallout from the Iran warAmerican job openings saw a significant rise in April, reaching 7.6 million. This indicates a strong labor market despite global economic c...
- Could today’s AI-driven S&P 500 rally end like the 1929 crash or the dot-com bubble after CAPE hits 40? What the Shiller CAPE ratio signals amid rising Wall Street bubble fearsStock Market CAPE Ratio hits 40, a rare level last seen before the 1929 crash and the 1999 dot-com bubble burst, raising fresh Wall Street ...
- The ‘Inevitables’: Warren Buffett's framework for finding companies that will dominate for decadesWarren Buffett divided the investment universe into Inevitables, Highly Probables, and Impostors. The Inevitables are companies whose domin...
- US jobless aid filings fell to 209,000 last week as layoffs remain low despite economic uncertaintyJobless claims saw a dip last week, indicating continued low layoffs. However, the economy faces significant challenges. The Iran war has d...
- Walmart cuts 1,000 jobs amid AI push: Are even retail jobs not safe in the AI era? Walmart layoffs leave employees searching for answersWalmart layoffs: Walmart is cutting around 1,000 corporate jobs as part of a major restructuring. The layoffs are affecting teams in techno...
- The man who predicted the last crash says something much worse is coming — are you prepared?America’s $38.9 trillion national debt is now reshaping how millions think about money, retirement and survival. Robert Kiyosaki says the U...
- U.S. Treasury to borrow $2 trillion in 2026 as national debt nears $39 trillion — is America quietly entering a dangerous fiscal crisis beyond Washington’s control?U.S. Treasury is set to borrow over $2 trillion in fiscal year 2026, a federal deficit exceeding 6% of GDP. The Office of Management and Bu...
- US employers defy economic shock from Iran war and add a surprisingly strong 115,000 jobs in AprilAverage hourly earnings rose 0.2% from March and 3.6% from April 2025, consistent with the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target.
- Wars, recessions, political crises, market crashes. Warren Buffett’s advice on each of themWarren Buffett made a prediction in the mid-1990s he knew would come true: Berkshire Hathaway's future returns would fall short compared to...
- India resilient amid oil shock, may grow 6.8%-7.1% despite global headwinds: SBI ResearchIndia faces global challenges from a strong position. Economic growth is projected between 6.8% and 7.1% for FY27. The nation's banking sec...
- IMF cuts China 2026 economic growth forecast to 4.4%The IMF on Tuesday lowered its forecast for Chinese economic growth this year to 4.4 percent, despite reduced US tariffs and stimulus measu...
- IMF raises India FY27 GDP growth forecast to 6.5% even as the world stumbles through conflictThe International Monetary Fund (IMF) has slightly raised India’s growth forecast for FY27 to 6.5%, up 0.1 percentage point from its Januar...
- US recession probability now at a staggering 93%, says UBS - here's what you need to track, hard data analysis, warning signs, employment trends, consumer, industrial indicators, aggregate outlookUS recession probability has reached 93% according to UBS analysis of hard economic data. The bank finds signals from employment, industria...
- JPMorgan drops US recession call, ups China outlook"The administration's recent dialing down of some of the more draconian tariffs placed on China should reduce the risk that the US economy ...
- U.S economic outlook worsens: Recession fears spike as probability jumps to 36%, GDP forecast slashed, and tariffs overtake inflation as top threatEconomists and analysts have increased the likelihood of a US recession to 36% due to trade policies and tariffs. The 2025 US GDP growth fo...
- Will there be a recession in the U.S, will companies go for massive layoffs, how much money will you earn? Top economists predict what's in store for 2025U.S. Recession Risks 2025: The U.S. economy in 2025 faces questions about a potential recession, large-scale layoffs, and income growth pro...
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