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SAJJID CHINOY JPMORGAN
Rupee plunge sees India turn to 2013 taper tantrum playbookIndia's central bank is considering measures to stabilize the rupee. The currency has fallen to a record low, increasing import costs. The ...- Emerging markets face fresh headwinds as India balances trade and growth: Sajjid ChinoyJPMorgan’s Sajjid Chinoy warns emerging markets face headwinds from rising U.S. tariffs, Chinese overcapacity, and automation reshaping exp...
- Quality of fiscal deficit is as important as quantity: Sajjid Chinoy, JPMorganIf economy grows then fiscal numbers may end up better than what appears today, says Punita Kumar Sinha
- Rupee weakness poses 'dilemma' for RBI at October meetingThe MPC is scheduled to announce its next decision on Oct. 5.
- India is more insulated from global shocks, but not immune: Sajjid Chinoy, JPMorgan"Having raised rates in back-to-back meetings, MPC has time to assess how the uncertainties pan out."
- RBI acknowledges change in growth inflation dynamics: Sajjid Chinoy, JPMorganAt this point, it is difficult for MPC to disentangle how much of this is transitory and related to demonetisation
- BRICS faces fundamental challenge of creating domestic demand: Sajjid Z Chinoy, JP Morgan"Despite the plethora of global risks, we have to recognise and acknowledge that the buffers that BRICS countries have built compared to 20...
- RBI right to worry over inflation, reflecting ground realities: Sajjid Z Chinoy, JPMorganRBI is marking to market its forecast and says that if oil stays here, food prices stay here, it creates upside risks to inflation
- RBI's rate status quo an appropriate move given global uncertainties: Sajjid Z Chinoy, JPMorgan"We need to understand that the Fed looms large. It is going to be a very legitimate risk for all emerging markets including India."
- Manufacturing suffering from weak final demand and excess global capacity: Sajjid Chinoy, JPMorgan India"Capital goods production in the IIP, commercial vehicle sales, lending to infrastructure for the first time in many years have ticked up."
- Changes to GDP have not changed outlook for growth, monetary policy: Sajjid Z Chinoy, JPMorganTwo, the base year itself has changed. Thirdly, now the government is going to report GDP growth in terms of market prices rather than fact...
- See lots of uncertainties on inflation front for next 6-9 months: Sajjid Z ChinoyFood prices have been quite well-behaved, oil prices have come down very sharply and the fact is growth is still quite tepid and weak.
- Premature to say food price worry is over: Sajjid Chinoy, JPMorgan'RBI would like to see headline CPI inflation at 8%. It is quite predictable and the market should not try and second guess the central ban...
- Policy rates may have to go up, causing growth to stagnate further: JPMorganIt is against this backdrop that we enter 2014; a year that most believe will be shaped by the outturn of general elections.
- Not sanguine about trajectory of inflation over next 4-5 months: Sajjid Chinoy, JPMorgan"My concern is about inflation expectations, considering that CPI is well in double digits and the WPI is well above expectations," Chinoy ...
- India needs a turnaround in expectations currently: Sajjid Chinoy, JPMorgan'Nobody grudges the food security bill. It is a moral imperative for any developing country,' says Sajjid Chinoy, JPMorgan
- Currency in a free fall hurts growth down the line: Sajjid Chinoy, JPMorgan'We need to make Indian markets independent of hot money flows which have been the cause of this problem over the last few years,' says Saj...
- High inflation due to slow withdrawal of stimulus: Sajjid Chinoy, JPMorgan"Loose fiscal policy has contributed significantly to crowding out investment and vitiating the investor sentiment," says Sajjid Chinoy, JP...
- Increasing limit for government securities was broadly in line with expectation: Sajjid Chinoy, India Economist, JPMorganSajjid Chinoy, India Economist, JPMorgan talks to ET Now about the implications of the RBI announcement on the rupee and Indian markets.
- Investor confidence will return if twin deficits are dealt with: Sajjid Chinoy, JPMorganCrowding out typically occurs in an environment where credit growth is strong. In India, we have seen anemic credit growth, says JPMorgan.
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