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INFLATION FORECASTS
The 'little boy' in the Pacific, India's monsoon and the big test aheadIndia's crucial monsoon season has begun sluggishly, with a significant rainfall deficit raising concerns for the farm economy. Delayed sow...- Food inflation projected to average 6% in FY27 amid rainfall deficit concerns: CareEdge RatingsIndia faces a challenging economic outlook with food inflation projected at 6% and CPI at 5% in FY27, largely due to a severe monsoon defic...
- US hiring falls to just 57,000 in June amid elevated inflation, global turmoilUS employers significantly slowed hiring last month, adding just 57,000 jobs, a stark contrast to previous months. This cautious approach s...
- Fed can afford to stay patient as inflation risks ease: Steve EnglanderThe Federal Reserve is unlikely to alter interest rates soon, as inflation moderates and the economy remains stable, according to Steve Eng...
- Gold extends gains on weak jobs data, lower oil pricesGold prices climbed on Thursday, reaching a one-week high, buoyed by weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data and a dip in oil prices. Investors...
- India's economic plot twist comes with one villain stepping aside, another waitingIndia's economic outlook has improved as falling crude oil prices ease inflation, strengthen the balance of payments and prompt economists ...
- Rupee ekes out first quarterly gain in five on oil drop, policy salvoThe Indian rupee achieved its first quarterly gain since March 2025, buoyed by falling oil prices and policy efforts to attract dollar infl...
- Oil cools, monsoon heats up concerns for India's rural economyThe recent drop in crude oil prices is providing some relief from inflation worries. Yet, the unpredictable monsoon season poses a serious ...
- India bonds edge up, supported by steady oil prices, halt to US-Iran strikesIndian government bonds saw an early rise on Monday, buoyed by strong foreign investment and stable oil prices, which helped offset geopoli...
- Easing of West Asia conflict reduces downside risk to 6.6% growth forecast: Ram Singh, Director, Delhi School of EconomicsAny moderation in El Nino effects and resolution of geopolitical uncertainty will further reduce the downside risks to growth. Operationali...
- Goldman Sachs raises India FY27 growth forecast to 6.5%Goldman Sachs has boosted India's FY27 growth outlook to 6.5%, citing lower oil prices and easing supply issues. The investment bank also a...
- Goldman Sachs upgrades India's growth outlook after US-Iran peace dealGoldman Sachs has raised India's 2026 real GDP growth forecast to 6.8% from 6.5%, citing lower oil prices, easing supply disruptions and re...
- US Stock Market: Fed's Goolsbee sees early signs of relief in services inflation, says core price pressures remain elevatedChicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said the latest US inflation data shows some improvement in services inflation, but underlying price ...
- Global Market: Core inflation in Tokyo accelerates as energy-driven price pressures begin to broadenTokyo's core inflation surged in June, driven by rising energy costs stemming from the Middle East conflict. This acceleration signals broa...
- Yen wobbles near 40-year low as dollar pauses for breathThe yen hovered near a 40-year low against the dollar as U.S. inflation data met expectations, leading traders to scale back bets on Federa...
- RBI in wait-and-watch mode, no certainty on rate hike: Governor Sanjay MalhotraReserve Bank of India Governor Sanjay Malhotra stated that an interest rate hike is premature, as inflation hasn't broadly impacted consume...
- S&P cuts India's FY27 growth forecast to 6.6%, sees inflation at 5.1%India's economic growth is projected to slow to 6.6% in 2026-27 due to energy pressures, a weaker monsoon, and global slowdown, S&P Global ...
- RBI remains watchful of global, monsoon situation says Sanjay MalhotraThe Reserve Bank of India is adopting a cautious "wait and watch" approach regarding global geopolitical shifts and monsoon progress. Gover...
- Global markets | Australian shares rise modestly as sticky core inflation keeps rate hike bets aliveAustralian shares edged higher on Wednesday, a cautious advance following inflation data. While headline inflation eased, core inflation ti...
- There are little signs of economy overheating: Saugata BhattacharyaFalling crude oil prices might boost growth beyond central bank forecasts, potentially easing rate hike needs. However, supply chain disrup...
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