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CORE INFLATION FORECAST
US Stock Market: Warsh signals overhaul of policy communications, skips rate projection in major shiftFederal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh signalled a possible overhaul of the US central bank’s communication strategy after declining to submit h...- Hi(gh) Gasoline! US retail sales in May rise on auto powerAmerican shoppers spent more in May than anticipated. This boost came from tax refunds and a stock market rise. However, this spending has ...
- UK inflation unexpectedly sticks at 13-month low before BoE rate decisionUK inflation remained steady at 2.8% in May, surprising economists and the Bank of England. This data influenced currency markets, with Ste...
- Global Markets: Japan exports extend growth streak despite Middle East supply disruptionsJapan's exports saw a significant rise in May, fueled by a weaker yen and robust demand for semiconductors. This growth outpaced expectatio...
- Bank of Japan raises interest rates to 31-year highThe Bank of Japan has increased its policy rate to 1.0 percent. This marks a 31-year high for interest rates. The move signals a strong foc...
- Inflation seen at 5% in FY27, 50-75 bps rate hikes likely as food and fuel risks build: ReportInflation is set to climb to 5.0 percent in FY27. Upside risks persist due to the West Asia conflict and a potential below-normal monsoon. ...
- Weak monsoon may drag agri GDP into contractionIndian agriculture is at a crossroads, facing significant hurdles in the coming years. Analysts project little to no growth for agricultura...
- Inflation in June quarter likely to undershoot RBI forecast, rate hike probability drops ahead of monsoon risksIndia's inflation is giving the Reserve Bank of India room to hold interest rates through the first quarter of fiscal year 2027. However, r...
- India's retail inflation quickens to 3.93% in May amid high food & fuel pricesIndia's retail inflation rose to 3.93% in May. Food and fuel prices increased, impacting consumer costs. This marks the highest inflation r...
- Bond traders keep bets on Fed hike in 2026Bond traders maintain expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike by year-end, despite a softer US core inflation reading. This e...
- Tata Consumer sees margin boost, targets 20%+ EBITDA: Chairman ChandrasekaranTata Consumer Products aims for over 20% EBITDA margin in the long run. Newer businesses like Tata Sampann and acquired entities are key gr...
- US inflation hits three-year high at 4.2% in May amid high energy pricesAmerica's consumer prices surged in May, reaching their highest in three years. This jump, fueled by rising gasoline costs due to Middle Ea...
- China's factory inflation hits 3-year high as energy costs surgeChina's producer inflation rose to a near three-year high of 3.9% in May, driven by higher energy costs and AI-related demand, while consum...
- Higher gasoline prices likely pushed up US consumer inflation again in MayMay is poised to bring a notable rise in consumer prices across the United States, signaling the steepest hike in three years. Fueled by es...
- Indian economy, government finances, see mounting costs from Iran warIndia's economy, once humming with benign inflation and steady growth, now faces mounting costs from the Iran war. As a major oil importer,...
- Inflation poses bigger risk than growth this fiscal as monsoon and crude weigh on rural demand: NuvamaIn FY27, India's economy grapples with inflation that hits hardest in rural regions, where rising food prices become an urgent concern. The...
- India inflation likely rose to 4% in May as food, fuel costs climbIndia's inflation likely climbed to the Reserve Bank of India's 4% target in May, driven by rising vegetable prices and increased fuel cost...
- Goldman Sachs pushes Fed rate-cut call to 2027 on strong US jobs dataGoldman Sachs now anticipates the U.S. Federal Reserve will maintain current interest rates through 2026, delaying any rate cuts until 2027...
- RBI MPC: India's Goldilocks moment dims, but the lights are not outIndia's economic "Goldilocks moment" is shifting as the RBI raises its inflation forecast and lowers growth projections due to external sho...
- RBI Inflation FY2026-27: The inflation battle is back as RBI raises FY27 forecast to 5.1% amid West Asia warRBI Inflation 2026-27 Forecast: The Reserve Bank of India has raised its inflation forecast for fiscal year 2026-27. This revision reflects...
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