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US bond market flouting inflation looks more vulnerableThe broader bond market is also signaling that a Federal Reserve policy rate peak short of 5% will be enough to cause a recession, requirin...- Volatile October a foretaste of where things could go from here: Ben Emons“The EU leaders are getting together to discuss the gas prices and there is communication with Russia to supply more gas in the future. So ...
- Pace of economic recovery in US no worry for markets: Ben Emons"The bigger uncertainties ahead of us are more on the policy front. What will the Federal Reserve do? What kind of infrastructure package a...
- Crypto limps to weekend after hammer blows from Musk, China, taxThis week’s swings led to huge liquidations by leveraged investors and damaged the narrative that cryptocurrencies will become more stable ...
- Inflation fears, virus uncertainty to remain an overhang for markets‘If there is fear of inflation, there will be possible rate hikes in the future’
- Bond market reflation trade absorbs punch to extend 2021 advanceThe reflation trade took a brief pause after a government release on February 10 showed the pace of core consumer-price inflation was 1.4% ...
- Expect a bullish scenario in 2021 as vaccines roll outMarket is just trying to figure out what should be the next step after the vaccine news was favourably priced in, says Ben Emons.
- A week like this was a long time coming for day-trader faithfulA few days of gut-wrenching declines in Apple and Tesla were the harrowing welcome for anyone who bought in the split-induced frenzy -- a r...
- Dollar defies detractors with its strongest start in 5 yearsThe Bloomberg dollar index has climbed 1.9% since the end of December.
- World economy haunted by risk just got a double shot in the armECB President Lagarde said the euro zone’s slowdown was showing signs of bottoming out.
- A repeat of 2018’s rout is likely coming, veteran investor says“A little bit shades of 2018,” Emons said of what’s likely coming.
- US Fed leaves interest rates unchanged, sees no hikes in 2019Federal Reserve said it would start slowing the shrinking of its balance sheet in May.
- Bond bulls energised as risks sow doubts over Fed’s pathContinental European risks are poised to come to the fore again, with traders looking to November 21.
- Dollar may hold the key to the global rally in stocksThe US currency’s weakness throughout 2017 provided much support for the domestic economy.
- Bond market bubbles exist if you know where to lookAlmost no discussion of bonds these days is complete without speculation on which part of the market will be revealed as being in a bubble ...
- The simple reason why buy the dip rules the marketsAs Warren Buffett likes to say, the best time to buy is when others are fearful.
- Currency manipulations and its meaningsConsider the yields on 10-year US Treasuries and Chinese government bonds, both hedged to Japanese yen.
- Beware! There is a quiet bear market in bonds despite the rallyWith the Fed intending to hike short-term rates more sequentially, longer maturity spot rates may match the level of forward rates, leading...
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