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UPASANA CHACHRA
Upasana Chachra highlights FII outflows, trade uncertainty behind rupee weaknessThe Indian rupee is experiencing significant pressure and hitting record lows, primarily due to weak capital flows, including foreign portf...- Tariffs, global growth slowdown, geopolitics pose risks to India’s outlook; GST cut to boost demand: Upasana Chachra, Morgan StanleyIndia's industrial growth reached a four-month peak in July. Upasana Chachra of Morgan Stanley suggests future growth hinges on exports and...
- India’s economic pulse: Upasana Chachra decodes the next phase of growthIndia’s macro setup remains strong with stable inflation, resilient capex, and steady growth. External risks may weigh on exports, but poli...
- Inflation risks tilt to downside, opening space for further monetary easing: Upasana ChachraMorgan Stanley's Upasana Chachra indicates a benign inflation outlook. Numbers are expected around 3-3.5% for the next few months, below 4%...
- Domestic demand to anchor growth as exports and capex face global drag: Upasana ChachraMorgan Stanley anticipates India's growth to moderate to 6-6.2% in the coming quarters, influenced by a slowdown in global demand. While do...
- RBI poised for 25 bps rate cut with accommodative stance amid global headwinds: Upasana ChachraMorgan Stanley's Upasana Chachra anticipates a likely 25 bps rate cut by the RBI, followed by another in June, contingent on growth traject...
- Upasana Chachra on navigating India’s fiscal deficit and growth outlookUpasana Chachra stated that the Union Budget strikes a balance between fiscal consolidation and growth support.
- Budget measures to bring about a widespread cyclical recovery; expect start of easing cycle from monetary policy: Upasana ChachraUpasana Chachra, Chief India Economist at Morgan Stanley, lauds the Union Budget for balancing consumption, fiscal consolidation, and capex...
- Status quo on rates and stance in December monetary policy likely: Upasana Chachra, Morgan Stanley“Core inflation is tracking at a 43-month low in the last print that we got, tracking at 4.3% and in our forecast we expect it to be largel...
- India's current account likely turned to surplus in Jan-March: Poll"While we expect the merchandise trade deficit to narrow, led by moderating global commodity prices, the invisibles trade balance should re...
- Final RBI rate hike likely tomorrow; 2 rate cuts in Q1 and Q2 CY24 expected: Upasana Chachra, Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley's Chief India Economist, Upasana Chachra, expects inflation to be around 5% or a little below for fiscal year 2025, which wi...
- Expect about 4.6% GDP growth for December quarter: Upasana Chachra, Morgan Stanley“The normalisation in livelihoods or the labour market will have an impact on rural demand. There would be some lag, and therefore we have ...
- Domestic demand drivers intact, slowdown fears unfounded: AnalystsAccordingly, they choose to stand out, expecting a 6.2 per cent GDP growth in FY24 as against the 6 per cent consensus forecasts, reiterati...
- Viewpoint: Analysts' take on India's trade deficit easing in August from record high"Though the August print marks a moderation from July's record trade deficit, the deficit remains at unsustainably high levels, and is like...
- Goldman cuts India's growth estimate; Morgan Stanley sees downside risksGoldman Sachs cut India's full-year 2022 GDP growth forecast to 7% from 7.6% and also lowered the current fiscal year estimates by 20 basis...
- Morgan Stanley cuts India GDP growth forecasts on inflation, global slowdownGross domestic product growth will be 7.6% for fiscal 2023 and 6.7% for fiscal 2024, 30 basis points lower than the previous estimates, the...
- Morgan Stanley gets bullish on emerging markets; where does India stand?EM fund managers' positions on India are at a five-year low, said Morgan Stanley.
- Delay in giving capital to PSU banks could impact investments: Morgan StanleyPublic sector banks are struggling for capital from the government and have been recently hit by the rise in bad loans.
- Trend in dollar, real rates key for rupee stability: Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley expects policy makers to continue to announce policy reform measures to support the confidence of foreign.
- Household savings decline to 7.8% of the GDP, lowest in 22 yearsThanks to slower growth in income and the rising rate of inflation, net household financial savings in India declined sharply during fiscal...
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