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SONAL VARMA NOMURA
Crop prices drop as Hormuz reopening to ease farm-input shockThe development, stemming from an interim US-Iran agreement, could alleviate food inflation fears fueled by the Middle East conflict.- RBI seen joining Asia’s rate-hike push as inflation risks riseThe Reserve Bank of India is expected to increase interest rates soon. This move aligns with other central banks responding to rising infla...
- RBI may have to bear forex risk to boost foreign money inflowsIndia may need central bank support to attract dollar investments, potentially through forex deposit schemes, to cover exchange risks and o...
- Spicier than jhalmuri: The Rs 1.7 lakh crore fiscal bite hidden in state election resultsWhat looked like a light-hearted campaign moment during PM Narendra Modi’s West Bengal trail has now turned into a major fiscal concern aft...
- RBI mulls new move using foreign bonds to prop up rupeeReserve Bank of India is considering allowing state-run banks to issue foreign-currency bonds to attract capital inflows and support the ru...
- BJP gains in Bengal may accelerate reforms push amid economic headwindsThe dominant National Democratic Alliance constituent at the Centre has registered its maiden victory in West Bengal, retained Assam and Pu...
- India’s heat wave creates new inflation risks after oil surgeIndia faces inflation risks from severe heat waves and predicted below-normal monsoon rains, exacerbating existing economic pressures from ...
- AI boom drowns out war fears to fuel Asia’s great market divideAsia's markets are split: South and Southeast Asia grapple with rising oil prices impacting trade and stocks, while North Asia's tech giant...
- Sectors hit hardest by pandemic grew slower, says NomuraIndia's gross domestic product (GDP) data indicated that while domestic demand improved in the June quarter, growth was much slower in the ...
- India's business activity picks up for sixth week running: NomuraThe Nomura India Business Resumption Index (NIBRI) jumped to 91.3 for the week ended July 4, from 86.3 in the previous week, the firm said ...
- India's growth hasn't bottomed out: NomuraInflation in India has picked up in the near term because of certain supply side shocks.
- India can attract 1.5-2 per cent FDI to GDP ratio: NomuraIndia is also in favourable position to attract foreign companies planning to relocate.
- India will enter a cyclical slowdown over next 12 months: Sonal Varma, NomuraOverall, there is a positive growth impulse, but more consumption- oriented, says Sonal Varma, Nomura
- State government finances to worsen this fiscal: NomuraThe rise has been despite the central government increasing allocation from central taxes to state governments to 42% from 32% in the last ...
- Indian growth robust powered by domestic engine, says NomuraNomura expects India’s economic growth to improve to 7.8 per cent in fiscal year ending March 2017 up from 7.6 per cent in March 2016.
- Salary hikes may trigger short-term rebound in inflation in 2016: Sonal Varma, Nomura India"We are expecting only 50 bps increase in the Fed funds rate in the calendar year 2016, after 25 bps liftoff in December."
- Business cycle in recovery mode: NomuraA rising number of upgrades compared with downgrades so far in 2015 could mean a gradual improvement in the business cycle.
- 8% GDP growth as projected by Economic Survey looks achievable: Sonal Varma, Nomura"As per the new GDP numbers, the actual value addition in the economy was already growing — or is expected to grow at 7.5% — this year."
- Expect GDP growth of 5.9% in Q2 in 2014: Sonal Varma, NomuraApril-June quarter IIP numbers have been much stronger than what we had anticipated. So, the GDP numbers may show a growth of about 5.9%.
- Expect a bias towards rupee appreciation: Sonal Varma, NomuraObviously, the RBI is likely to continue to intervene to build its reserves, but the bias still will be towards an appreciation in the rupe...
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