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QUANTECO ECONOMIST
El Niño puts India on track for its driest monsoon since 2009India is set to face its driest monsoon in 17 years as El Niño curtails rainfall. This deficit threatens crop yields and increases food pri...- A dozen ingredients show India's mounting food inflation riskIndia’s everyday thali is getting costlier as weak monsoon rains, the Iran and Ukraine wars and rising demand for crops used in biofuels pu...
- Xi-Modi thaw warms up ties at BRICS, but old India-China fault lines remainChinese President Xi Jinping and Prime Minister Narendra Modi used their first meeting on Indian soil in seven years to signal a thaw in ti...
- Gaining ground: Household manufacturing grows 4x faster than corporatesHousehold manufacturing in India is growing nearly four times faster than corporate entities. This sector's gross value added shows a subst...
- Rice, oilseed, pulses prices rise as Kharif crop sowing declinesRetail prices are rising due to reduced sowing of key kharif crops. Inflation has increased for rice, oilseeds, and major pulses in June. A...
- Deficit shrinks to 15% but uneven rains fan Kharif concernsMonsoon recovery follows a weak June, but uneven distribution persists. Many key agricultural districts still face deficient rainfall, impa...
- Rupee at record low of 92.43 vs USD; analysts warn of slide to 95 amid Iran warThe Indian rupee has reached a historic low. Worries about rising oil prices due to the Iran conflict are impacting the economy. Analysts p...
- GST revamp to add 30 bps to growth, say economistsIndia's economic growth is projected to receive a 0.2-0.3% boost due to the recent GST rationalization, simplifying the tax structure to tw...
- US tariffs to hit India's GDP growth, prompt more rate cutsIndia's economic growth is expected to slow by 20-40 basis points this financial year, driven by new U.S. tariffs. Analysts predict deeper ...
- Consumption to rise on I-T relief, easing inflation & better job marketIndia's consumption demand is expected to rise in FY26 due to income tax relief, easing inflation, and better job prospects. Economists cau...
- Rupee to trade in narrowest range in about 30 years on RBI's actions: Reuters pollThe Indian rupee will trade within the narrowest range in nearly three decades over the coming year as the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) cont...
- RBI to raise rates once more on April 6, stay on pause mode thereafter: PollThe Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is expected to raise its main interest rate by 25 basis points on 6 April, and then pause for the rest of t...
- RBI may need to continue infusing longer-term liquidity, say analystsThe central bank will conduct a 14-day variable rate repo auction later on Friday-its first since February 2020-to infuse 500 billion rupee...
- Rupee left behind in EM rally as RBI rebuilds foreign reservesThe rupee forecasts highlight the downside risk for the Indian currency, which analysts surveyed by Bloomberg expect to end the quarter at ...
- Spurt in India's liquidity surplus may not sustain through FY endIndia's banking system liquidity surplus has averaged above 1.50 trillion rupees ($18.11 billion) on a daily basis from Dec. 1 to Dec. 14, ...
- India's Q1 balance of payments surplus surprise an anomaly - economistsThe Reserve Bank of India data on Thursday showed the country's balance of payments came at a surplus of $4.6 billion for the quarter, comp...
- India's external balance challenges, rupee woes worsened by record high trade deficitTrade deficit in Asia's third largest economy, India, widened to an all-time high of $31 billion, data on Tuesday showed, prompting concern...
- CAD to widen as high global commodity prices, inflation may drive up imports: AnalystsThe foreign firm pegs India’s current account deficit (CAD) at 3.4 per cent of GDP in October-December, sharply higher than 1.3 per cent a ...
- Telecom tariff hikes, consumer product price hikes key upside risks to inflation: AnalystsMarkets may be relieved with the inflation outturn in November, but going by views emanating from some economists, there may not be much to...
- Import demand push, possible fall in exports due to Omicron may keep trade gap elevated, say analystsGrowth in exports eased to 26.5 per cent year-on-year in November from 43.1 per cent in October, while import growth was at 57.2 per cent y...
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