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MACROPOLICY PERSPECTIVES
Macro, the Mightiest: Why India’s biggest macro variable still falls from the skyThe 2026 monsoon comes with a clear warning: Rainfall is forecast at 92% of the long-period average, with higher-than-usual probability of ...- Powell's tenure as Fed chair marked by fight for independence while trying to tame inflation
- Are Donald Trump’s policies leading to a stock market slump? Here’s what experts sayThe plummeting stock market is raising concerns about the financial ramifications of President Donald Trump's unpredictable agenda. His tra...
- Fed set to pause rate hikes, but don’t count out another increasePowell has signaled that Fed leaders would prefer to wait to evaluate the impact of past increases on the economy as they near the end of t...
- US core inflation picks up, keeping another Fed hike in play this yearThe so-called core consumer price index, which excludes food and energy costs, advanced 0.3% from July, marking the first acceleration sinc...
- US inflation picks up, but details under the surface are encouragingThe upshot was that inflation continued to show signs of seriously receding after two years of rapid price increases that have bedeviled po...
- Decision-Day Guide: Fed to hike and hammer home hawkish messageMarkets will home in on policy makers’ projections of monetary tightening in the “dot plot” for year’s end and 2023, reflecting Powell’s st...
- Driven by consumers, US inflation grows more persistentPrices are no longer rising because a few categories have skyrocketed in cost. Instead, inflation has now spread more widely through the ec...
- Fed Chief Powell has chance to reset market expectations at Jackson HolePowell speaks on the economic outlook at 10 a.m. Washington time Friday and is expected to re-state the Fed's resolve to keep raising inter...
- World’s central banks unleash most hawkish campaign since 1980sThe week began with a sudden shift on Wall Street to price in a 75 basis point interest-rate increase by the Federal Reserve. The US centra...
- Decision-Day Guide: Fed to hike and steepen its rate policy pathThe Federal Open Market Committee is all but certain to raise rates by a quarter percentage point at the conclusion of its two-day policy m...
- Fed to stress patience on scaling back as virus threat lurks: Decision-Day GuideThe Federal Open Market Committee is all but certain to hold interest rates near zero at the conclusion of a two-day policy meeting on Wedn...
- Fed to avoid early exit or bond-taper signal: Decision-day guideThe Federal Open Market Committee is all but certain to hold interest rates near zero at the conclusion of its two-day policy meeting on We...
- Fed unveils unlimited QE and aid for businesses, statesStocks fell around 1.5% as the stalemate in Congress over a spending bill soured sentiment.
- Fed rate cut looks more likely: Question is when and by how muchPowell and his colleagues are expected to begin initial discussions on the rate cut decision.
- Fed watchers say a July rate cut is in play, June not likelyFed watchers said their base case is for the central bank to stand pat.
- Trump says buy the dip. And why not, at valuations like these?American stocks are also looking less of an outlier versus other advanced markets.
- Fed debate on risks intensifies around rate hikesWhile the minutes made no mention of political heat, they were full of downside risks stemming from Trump policies
- Fed wants to wind down QE, but is it the master of balance sheet fate?FOMC left interest rates unchanged after raising them three times in last three quarters.
- US inflation data weakens Fed's case for another hikeFOMC's outlook and Yellen's comments reflect forecasters' bedrock understanding of how inflation works.
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