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INFLATION OUTLOOK
Weak monsoon raises food inflation concerns, but rate hike seen unlikelyEconomists are split on how a weak monsoon will affect food prices, with some believing falling oil prices will offset any hikes. Others wa...- S&P cuts India's FY27 growth forecast to 6.6%, sees inflation at 5.1%India's economic growth is projected to slow to 6.6% in 2026-27 due to energy pressures, a weaker monsoon, and global slowdown, S&P Global ...
- RBI's Malhotra says rate hike talk is premature, stays in wait-and-watch modeReserve Bank Governor Sanjay Malhotra stated that a rate hike is premature, emphasizing the central bank's cautious, data-dependent approac...
- India's FY27 growth likely to slow down to 6.6% on energy stress, sub-par monsoon: S&PIndia's economic growth is projected to slow to 6.6% in the current fiscal year, according to S&P Global Ratings. This slowdown is attribut...
- RBI in wait-and-watch mode despite easing West Asia risks: Sanjay MalhotraDespite easing West Asian tensions, the RBI remains cautious, with Governor Sanjay Malhotra emphasizing data dependency over pre-set intere...
- Global Market: BOJ policymakers push for faster rate hikes as inflation risks mountThe Bank of Japan is growing more concerned about persistent inflation, with some policymakers advocating faster interest rate hikes after ...
- US Stock Market: Fed's Goolsbee says inflation outlook hinges on tariffs, services pricesChicago Fed's Austan Goolsbee highlighted the central bank's primary challenge: discerning if inflation's current surge will persist or fad...
- Double-digit sales growth in apparel, ACs, premium goods faces inflation & monsoon testDiscretionary spending is witnessing a notable resurgence, particularly in the apparel and white goods sectors, which have both seen impres...
- Global economy remains fragile despite US-Iran truce, but India has buffers to weather shocks: RBIGlobal economic fragility persists despite a US-Iran truce, with risks of renewed inflation and supply disruptions if tensions re-escalate....
- US Stock Market: Warsh reshapes Fed playbook with leaner messaging and reform agendaUS Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh signalled a major shift in central bank communication by adopting shorter policy statements and focusi...
- Global Market: Japan's benchmark bond yields extend gains as inflation, fiscal concerns weighJapanese government bond yields are climbing as persistent inflation and fiscal concerns weigh on investors. A new government growth strate...
- RBI expected to hold repo at 5.25% as uncertainty eases, will watch food and fuel pass-through: BofA SecuritiesThe Reserve Bank of India is expected to maintain its wait-and-watch stance and keep the repo rate at 5.25 per cent in coming meetings as t...
- Lower oil prices open door for MPC to time policy normalisation: ICICI ResearchFalling oil prices and easing geopolitical tensions have improved India's inflation outlook, giving the Monetary Policy Committee room to d...
- RBI MPC minutes: Policy misstep fears drove rate pause amid West Asia uncertaintyThe Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee has opted for a cautious "wait and watch" stance, holding the repo rate steady due to...
- RBI MPC minutes: 'Energy prices unlikely to return to pre-conflict levels,' says economist Saugata BhattacharyaThe Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee maintained the repo rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance. External member Saugata Bhat...
- AI Euphoria, Fed Signals and Oil Politics: David Roche warns markets may be ignoring bigger risksGlobal markets are optimistic about AI and easing inflation, but David Roche warns of deeper structural risks. He believes the AI investmen...
- US Stock Market: Warsh signals overhaul of policy communications, skips rate projection in major shiftFederal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh signalled a possible overhaul of the US central bank’s communication strategy after declining to submit h...
- Oil below $80 may cap fuel price hikes, boost India outlookFalling crude oil prices below $80 a barrel are set to prevent further fuel price increases. This development is boosting India's economic ...
- As oil roundtrips, AI booms, and US consumers spend, economists' Fed outlooks hit the extremesEconomists are divided on the U.S. economic outlook, with some predicting rate cuts due to consumer weakness and falling real wages, while ...
- US Stock Market: UBS pushes Fed rate cut expectations to 2027 on hawkish policy outlookUBS Global Wealth Management now expects the US Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged through 2026, delaying rate cuts until 202...
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