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INDIA INFLATION FORECASTING
Finmin to engage with states over looming El Nino falloutThe Finance Ministry will soon meet with states and central ministries to assess the economic and fiscal impact of El Nino. This review wil...- Goldman Sachs cuts India's 2026 CAD forecast to 1.3% of GDPIt expects India to be less vulnerable to higher crude oil prices than in previous years, citing lower oil intensity, improved energy effic...
- IMF chief says no global slowdown in sight yet, but risks are highThe global economy is holding strong despite the Middle East war. Commodity prices and inflation have risen, but a global slowdown is not y...
- India's wholesale inflation at 9.68% in May under revamped series as Iran war-driven oil costs biteIndia’s wholesale inflation stood at 9.68% in May under a new series, with food and fuel prices remaining high amid ongoing US-Iran conflic...
- Inflation seen at 5% in FY27, 50-75 bps rate hikes likely as food and fuel risks build: ReportInflation is set to climb to 5.0 percent in FY27. Upside risks persist due to the West Asia conflict and a potential below-normal monsoon. ...
- Inflation in June quarter likely to undershoot RBI forecast, rate hike probability drops ahead of monsoon risksIndia's inflation is giving the Reserve Bank of India room to hold interest rates through the first quarter of fiscal year 2027. However, r...
- El Nino sets in, clouds kharif outlookEl Nino conditions have set in and may strengthen during the southwest monsoon, raising concerns for India's largest sowing window. The neu...
- India's retail inflation quickens to 3.93% in May amid high food & fuel pricesIndia's retail inflation rose to 3.93% in May. Food and fuel prices increased, impacting consumer costs. This marks the highest inflation r...
- Is India's economic growth real? Raghuram Rajan says something is offFormer RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan questions India's strong economic growth figures, citing weak corporate investment and declining foreign...
- World markets walk a tightrope between AI stocks and oil shocksGlobal markets are on a knife edge, facing a potential AI boom or oil shocks from the U.S.-Iran conflict. Investors are navigating volatile...
- Indian banks better placed than APAC peers: Fitch on West Asia woesIndia's banking sector is resilient against the economic impact of the US-Israel conflict with Iran, according to Fitch Ratings. While othe...
- Fitch cuts FY27 growth projection to 6.4%; US-Iran war to slow down economyFitch Ratings has reduced India's GDP growth projection to 6.4 percent for the current fiscal year. The US-Iran war is expected to slow eco...
- RBI seen joining Asia’s rate-hike push as inflation risks riseThe Reserve Bank of India is expected to increase interest rates soon. This move aligns with other central banks responding to rising infla...
- Inflation poses bigger risk than growth this fiscal as monsoon and crude weigh on rural demand: NuvamaIn FY27, India's economy grapples with inflation that hits hardest in rural regions, where rising food prices become an urgent concern. The...
- India inflation likely rose to 4% in May as food, fuel costs climbIndia's inflation likely climbed to the Reserve Bank of India's 4% target in May, driven by rising vegetable prices and increased fuel cost...
- Indians are growing more pessimistic about the economy. RBI Survey shows whyUrban consumers grew more pessimistic about the economy, jobs, and spending in May, with the Current Situation Index falling for the third ...
- India likely to outpace RBI growth forecasts, says World Bank's Neelkanth MishraIndia's economy is set for robust growth, exceeding Reserve Bank of India forecasts, World Bank Executive Director Neelkanth Mishra said. A...
- Rate hikes are coming, RBI has sent a clear signal, says Anubhuti Sahay, Standard CharteredDespite holding the repo rate steady, the Reserve Bank of India's significantly upgraded inflation forecasts signal a strong likelihood of ...
- RBI GDP growth 2026-27: Forecast cut to 6.6% as oil, war and subpar monsoon risks mountRBI GDP Growth 2026-27: The Reserve Bank of India has reduced its economic growth forecast for FY27 to 6.6 percent. This adjustment comes a...
- RBI Inflation FY2026-27: The inflation battle is back as RBI raises FY27 forecast to 5.1% amid West Asia warRBI Inflation 2026-27 Forecast: The Reserve Bank of India has raised its inflation forecast for fiscal year 2026-27. This revision reflects...
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