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ICRA FORECASTS
The 'little boy' in the Pacific, India's monsoon and the big test aheadIndia's crucial monsoon season has begun sluggishly, with a significant rainfall deficit raising concerns for the farm economy. Delayed sow...- Growth engine revving as GST, auto sales rise despite global roadblocksIndia's economy shows robust growth in Q1 FY27, with GST collections soaring 13.9% to Rs 1.95 lakh crore in June. Car sales surged 24%, and...
- Oil cools, monsoon heats up concerns for India's rural economyThe recent drop in crude oil prices is providing some relief from inflation worries. Yet, the unpredictable monsoon season poses a serious ...
- No smooth landing: ICRA sees Indian airlines' losses widening up to Rs 38,000 crore in FY27India's aviation sector faces a grim outlook, with ICRA projecting net losses to skyrocket to ₹36,000-38,000 crore in FY27. This sharp revi...
- Core sector output slows to seven-month low of 0.5% in MayIndia's core sector growth hit a seven-month low of 0.5% in May, primarily due to a significant slump in energy-related industries. Petrole...
- Indian two-wheeler industry to see moderate growth at 3-5% in FY27: ICRAIndia's two-wheeler sector anticipates a modest 3-5% wholesale volume growth in FY27, according to ICRA. While domestic demand and exports ...
- War, oil and El Nino: Triple threat may cut India Inc's profit margins by 150 bpsIndia Inc faces challenges ahead. Geopolitical tensions in West Asia and El Nino conditions may hurt company profits. Operating profit marg...
- Domestic tractor wholesale volumes likely to grow at 1-4% in FY27: ICRATractor sales are set for modest growth this fiscal year. However, a below-normal monsoon forecast poses a risk to agricultural output and ...
- India defies West Asia war concerns as Q4 GDP growth hits 7.8%; risks remain aheadIndia's economy surged by a better-than-expected 7.8% in the March quarter, exceeding forecasts and pushing FY26 growth to 7.7%. This robus...
- RBI GDP growth 2026-27: Forecast cut to 6.6% as oil, war and subpar monsoon risks mountRBI GDP Growth 2026-27: The Reserve Bank of India has reduced its economic growth forecast for FY27 to 6.6 percent. This adjustment comes a...
- RBI MPC: A challenge Shaktikanta Das contained may be resurfacing againIndia's central bank, the RBI, confronts a new inflation challenge. Rising oil prices and supply disruptions threaten to undo recent progre...
- India's fuel demand outlook hit by price hikes, slowing industrial activityIndia's fuel demand growth is set to slow. Price increases for gasoline and diesel are impacting consumers. The trucking sector shows early...
- A ₹3 lakh crore rain check? India’s monsoon now comes with a Hormuz fine printIndia’s fertiliser supply chain is under strain as the West Asia conflict disrupts shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route ...
- RBI MPC meet: Central bank likely to maintain status quo on rates, adopt cautious approach amid West Asia crisisExperts anticipate the Reserve Bank of India will maintain its key policy rate at 5.25 percent this week. The central bank is expected to a...
- Fuel price hikes may push inflation towards 5%, RBI likely to stay cautious: EconomistsRetail inflation may reach 5 percent by June due to fuel price increases and higher gold and silver import duties. Economists believe the R...
- RBI unlikely to hike rates soon despite inflation risk, rate action only in Dec if needed: Icra's Aditi NayarThe Reserve Bank of India is expected to hold off on interest rate hikes. Inflation risks are rising due to fuel prices and monsoon uncerta...
- ICRA sees Q4 growth slowing to three-qtr low of 7%India's economic growth is projected to slow in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026. ICRA forecasts a 7% growth rate, down from the prev...
- ICRA lowers India's FY27 GDP growth estimate to 6.2%Rating agency ICRA has revised India's FY27 GDP growth forecast down to 6.2% from 6.5% due to elevated crude oil prices stemming from the W...
- Petrol, diesel price hike may trigger chain reaction across economy, say expertsRising petrol and diesel prices are poised to escalate India's retail inflation, with economists forecasting a significant ripple effect on...
- India bans sugar exports till September to stabilise domestic pricesIndia has banned sugar exports until September 30. This move aims to stabilize domestic prices as supply tightens. The ban applies to raw, ...
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