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DEFICIT RAINFALL
US-Iran peace deal brings relief, but India turns to a risk at homeIndia just got a near-term macroeconomic breather from a US-Iran peace deal. However, early monsoon weakness and potential El Niño conditio...
Volatile crude prices, forex swings and poor rains pose challenge for India: FM SitharamanIndia's Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman highlighted significant economic challenges. These include fluctuating foreign exchange and cru...
El Niño is here, but can the Indian Ocean Dipole save India's monsoon?El Niño conditions have developed in the Pacific Ocean. This weather pattern often leads to less rain and hotter temperatures in India. Far...
Weak monsoon may drag agri GDP into contractionIndian agriculture is at a crossroads, facing significant hurdles in the coming years. Analysts project little to no growth for agricultura...
Inflation poses bigger risk than growth this fiscal as monsoon and crude weigh on rural demand: NuvamaIn FY27, India's economy grapples with inflation that hits hardest in rural regions, where rising food prices become an urgent concern. The...
India can regain 7% growth by FY28: Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha NageswaranIndia's Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran stated the nation can achieve over 7% growth this fiscal year, driven by policy measure...
RBI MPC: A challenge Shaktikanta Das contained may be resurfacing againIndia's central bank, the RBI, confronts a new inflation challenge. Rising oil prices and supply disruptions threaten to undo recent progre...
A ₹3 lakh crore rain check? India’s monsoon now comes with a Hormuz fine printIndia’s fertiliser supply chain is under strain as the West Asia conflict disrupts shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route ...
Crude oil shock clouds near-term outlook, but FY27 earnings growth still intact: Karthikraj LakshmananUTI AMC's Karthikraj Lakshmanan sees cautiously optimistic Indian market outlook with intact FY27 earnings trajectory, despite near-term cr...
Shot of hike as painkiller: India’s economic storm calls for decisive MPC actionIndia's economy faces a perfect storm. The rupee is at historic lows, subsidies are soaring, and fiscal deficit risks are rising. Capital o...
Strait of Hormuz disruption biggest risk to India's growth, inflation outlook: Finance MinistryIndia faces economic challenges from the West Asia war. Rising energy prices and a weaker rupee are concerns. A poor monsoon could worsen f...
India faces test of oil, inflation and monsoon risks despite economic resilience, FinMin report showsIndia's economy shows cautious resilience. Domestic strengths support the outlook despite global challenges. Manufacturing and services are...
Behind the petrol pump: Why fuel retailers losing Rs 7-8 per litre need $85 crude oil to stop bleeding cashOil companies face continued losses of Rs 7-8 per litre on petrol and diesel, with a breakeven point only at crude prices of $85-87 a barre...
RBI unlikely to hike rates soon despite inflation risk, rate action only in Dec if needed: Icra's Aditi NayarThe Reserve Bank of India is expected to hold off on interest rate hikes. Inflation risks are rising due to fuel prices and monsoon uncerta...
'Inflation and unholy mess:' Why Nithin Kamath thinks RBI may not stay soft on interest ratesNithin Kamath warned that a weak monsoon caused by El Niño and rising global oil prices linked to the Iran conflict could sharply increase ...
Macro, the Mightiest: Why India’s biggest macro variable still falls from the skyThe 2026 monsoon comes with a clear warning: Rainfall is forecast at 92% of the long-period average, with higher-than-usual probability of ...
Supply-side stress, weather add uncertainty to macrosIndia's economy faces near-term challenges. Supply issues and weather create uncertainty. Geopolitical events in West Asia could impact dom...
India’s near-term outlook clouded by supply risks, weather uncertainties: RBI reportIndia's economy faces near-term challenges. Supply issues and weather create uncertainty. Geopolitical events in West Asia could impact dom...
Bengaluru rain update: Bangalore braces for intense showers, thunderstorms and strong winds as IMD issues yellow alert till May 24Bengaluru rain today: Bengaluru is facing intense pre-monsoon showers, with a yellow alert issued for thunderstorms and lightning. Heavy ra...
Forget stocks, you can now profit from Mumbai rains! Here's how NCDEX's unique weather futures workNCDEX has launched India’s first exchange-traded weather derivative contract, RAINMUMBAI, allowing traders and businesses to hedge against ...