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CLAUDIA SAHM
Trump’s biggest trade war salvo since 1930s just one of the shocks for US economy as risks pile upPresident Trump's trade-war actions are expected to slow US growth in the near term. Policy uncertainties and potential trade war escalatio...05 Mar, 2025, 03.01 PM IST- Fed set to cut rates again while facing a hazy post-poll outlookThe presidential contest might still be unresolved when the Fed ends its two-day meeting Thursday afternoon, yet that uncertainty would hav...04 Nov, 2024, 05.26 AM IST
- Recession fears: Is the Fed too late on rate cuts?The Federal Reserve has been slow to cut interest rates but remains effective in averting a recession. Market volatility and rising jobless...07 Aug, 2024, 06.33 PM IST
- Sahm rule: My recession rule was meant to be broken, says Claudia SahmThe Sahm rule, which was triggered with Friday’s weaker-than-expected jobs report, joins a long list of economic tools skewed by the unusua...07 Aug, 2024, 04.50 PM IST
- US recession imminent? Fears may be overstated, but not unfoundedFollowing a surprisingly weak jobs report for July, concerns about the US economy's resilience have emerged. The report showed slower hirin...07 Aug, 2024, 12.04 PM IST
- US Recession 2024 fears: Is it happening? Here is what data revealsThe US stock market has hinted that fears over possible recession have gripped the sentiments across. Here are parametres that may help det...06 Aug, 2024, 06.48 PM IST
- Claudia Sahm, the creator of recession indicator Sahm Rule says, the U.S is very close to recessionIs the world's largest economy very close to a recession, here's what economist Claudia Sahm has to say05 Aug, 2024, 10.02 PM IST
- Unemployment rise spurs fears of slowdown, yet recession signals have been wrong - so farThe U.S. saw an unexpected rise in unemployment last month, causing market drops and renewed recession worries. Established recession indic...05 Aug, 2024, 12.04 PM IST
- What is Sahm Rule, a recession indicator that has been triggered in the U.S; how does it affect you?The Sahm Rule is a valuable indicator for assessing economic conditions, particularly regarding unemployment trends, and serves as a guide ...04 Aug, 2024, 11.11 AM IST
- What is the Sahm Rule that predicts recessions and is worrying Wall Street?Former Federal Reserve economist Claudia Sahm has rejected imminent US recession, pointing out mitigating factors like the pressure on the ...31 Jul, 2024, 01.27 AM IST
- What’s the opposite of a jobless recovery? A jobful recessionThe more or less formal definition of a recession in the US is whatever the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the NBER, a nonprofit founde...07 Jun, 2023, 06.55 PM IST
- Fed policymakers see one more rate hike this year, cuts in 2024Forecasts from the 18 policymakers were varied, however, with seven policymakers seeing a higher appropriate stopping point for rates. One ...23 Mar, 2023, 07.53 AM IST
- Can US avoid a recession? As inflation eases, optimism risesOn Thursday, the government is expected to issue another mild report on inflation, which would boost hopes that the Fed might decide to pau...11 Jan, 2023, 10.26 PM IST
- Fed forecasts show fraying faith in soft landingThe Fed's latest quarterly summary of policymaker projections shows U.S. central bankers expect to raise the policy rate, now in the 3%-3.2...21 Sep, 2022, 11.49 PM IST
- US GDP shrinks in second quarter. Is the nation in recession?USA-ECONOMY/RECESSION (UPDATE 1, EXPLAINER, GRAPHICS)EXPLAINER-U.S. GDP shrinks in second quarter. Is the nation in recession?28 Jul, 2022, 07.41 PM IST
- Is the US in a recession? Jobs and GDP tell a different storyThe "two quarters" definition is handy for analysts, journalists and the general public. But it is not how economists think about business ...08 Jul, 2022, 09.31 PM IST
- How do you define a recession? Let us count the waysA recession is often defined as two consecutive quarters where the economy shrinks instead of grows, but with plenty of caveats.18 Jun, 2022, 10.12 AM IST
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