Who's winning Maharashtra election 2024? Here's what Phalodi Satta Bazar is predicting

Polling for the 2024 Maharashtra Assembly elections took place on November 20, with over 9.7 crore registered voters deciding the fate of 4,136 candidates contesting across 288 constituencies. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led Mahayuti alliance is seeking to retain power, while the Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) alliance aims for a resurgence. Exit polls suggest a narrow lead for the Mahayuti, with estimates of 144 to 152 seats, leaving room for uncertainty as counting begins on November 23.

Maharashtra Election Result: Phalodi Satta Bazar Predictions

The Rajasthan-based Phalodi Satta Bazar, known for its election predictions, forecasts the Mahayuti alliance’s return to power. Despite this prediction, the Bazar’s recent misses, such as failing to anticipate BJP's comeback in Rajasthan, add an element of caution to the forecast.

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Election Campaign Highlights

The campaign period witnessed rallies from key national leaders, including Narendra Modi, Amit Shah, Rahul Gandhi, and Priyanka Gandhi Vadra. The Mahayuti alliance, comprising the BJP, Shiv Sena (Eknath Shinde faction), and the Ajit Pawar-led NCP, focused on developmental schemes such as the Majhi Ladki Bahin program. Meanwhile, the MVA coalition, led by Congress, Shiv Sena (UBT), and the Sharad Pawar-led NCP, campaigned on issues like caste-based census and social justice.

Also Read: All About Rajasthan's Phalodi Satta Bazar

Tensions arose over slogans such as "Batenge toh katenge" and "Ek hai toh safe hai," which drew criticism for allegedly polarizing voters. Deputy Chief Minister Ajit Pawar distanced himself from the rhetoric, while Devendra Fadnavis sought to clarify their intent.

Key Statistics and Election Logistics

The number of candidates increased by 28% compared to 2019, with 2,086 independents and over 150 rebels contesting against party-backed candidates. Maharashtra saw a rise in polling stations to 1,00,186, up from 96,654 in 2019, to accommodate the growing electorate. Over six lakh state government employees managed polling duties.

Also Read: Who is winning Jharkhand

Model Code of Conduct Enforcement

Since October 15, enforcement actions have led to the seizure of cash, liquor, drugs, and precious metals worth over ₹252 crore. Additionally, 2,469 complaints were lodged via the C-Vigil app, with nearly all resolved promptly.

As Maharashtra awaits the final vote count on November 23, all eyes remain on the tightly contested battle between the Mahayuti and MVA alliances.
The election campaign for the Maharashtra assembly polls ended on Monday, with the ruling BJP-led Mahayuti alliance vying to retain power and the Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) combine hoping for a strong comeback. Polling will be held in all the 288 assembly seats on November 20 and votes will be counted on November 23. The election campaign saw prominent leaders like Narendra Modi, Amit Shah, Rahul Gandhi, Priyanka Gandhi Vadra, and many Union ministers crisscrossing the state to garner votes for their candidates. The Mahayuti, comprising the BJP, Shiv Sena led by Chief Minister Eknath Shinde, and the Nationalist Congress Party led by Deputy Chief Minister Ajit Pawar, is banking on its popular schemes like Majhi Ladki Bahin for women helping it retain power.