India Inc hopes RBI will resume rate cut cycle after Budget 2015

After a surprise 0.25 per cent reduction in repo rate on January 15, the RBI today left the interest rate at 7.75 per cent in its bi-monthly monetary policy.

India Inc hopes RBI will resume rate cut cycle after Budget 2015
NEW DELHI: With RBI maintaining a status quo, India Inc today hoped the "rate cut cycle" will resume post Budget and asked the government and the central bank to nudge lenders to lower rates to bring back the investment momentum.

After a surprise 0.25 per cent reduction in repo rate on January 15, the RBI today left the interest rate at 7.75 per cent in its bi-monthly monetary policy.

CII President Ajay S Shriram said a modest 0.25 per cent rate cut would have further lifted sentiments and assured the markets that the monetary easing cycle is on course which would be followed by further cuts in rates during the year.

He said the CII is hopeful that the RBI would resume its accommodative monetary policy stance in the next policy review and work in tandem with the government to bring back the investment momentum.

In a statement, industry body FICCI said there was a need for a cut of at least another 75 basis points during 2015 and its transmission by the banks to industry in the form of lower lending rates to boost growth on a sustainable basis.

"...the RBI is clearly now looking at the fiscal consolidation measures that would be announced in the upcoming budget. Given that the government is committed to maintaining fiscal prudence, we are hopeful that the repo rate cut cycle would be resumed after the presentation of the Union Budget for 2015-16," FICCI President Jyotsna Suri said.
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Finance Minister Arun Jaitley is scheduled to present the first full-fledged budget of the new government on February 28.

Assocham, President, Rana Kapoor said the government, if not the RBI, should nudge banks to transmit lower interest rates which have already taken place.

"Whichever way it is possible, the cost of capital must come down for the entrepreneurs and the interest rate must also be down for the consumer to revive the demand," he said.

Commenting on the policy, Alok B Shriram, President of PHD Chamber of Commerce and Industry said though, repo rate cut was expected, the 0.50 per cent cut in SLR is welcome and is expected to enhance banking sector liquidity.
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Shashwat Sharma, Partner- Financial Services, KPMG in India appreciated RBI's "watchful approach" on awaiting structural changes by the government in the domestic economy before announcing further interest rate cuts.

Meanwhile, engineering exporters' body EEPC said costs are going to be key but interest rates do not support exporters.
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"The least the banks can do is to transmit the cut in interest rates already announced by the RBI earlier. Change in the dispensation of export finance will help only if rates are brought down," EEPC Chairman Anupam Shah said.

Chairman and MD of CBRE South Asia Anshuman Magazine, said the monetary policy was largely expected by the industry, given that the RBI had already initiated rates cut in January. He said it was a prudent move on the part of the central bank to wait and watch for the market to react to the current positive macro-economic climate in the country.
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Ten challenges FM Arun Jaitley faces in the budget
1/10
Text: ET Bureau

Finance minister Arun Jaitley will present the NDA govt’s second budget, one of the most anticipated in recent times, on February 28. Calls for a big-bang budget are getting louder and stock markets are doing their bit to raise expectations. ET takes a look at the challenges the FM faces:
Text: ET Bureau

Finance minister Arun Jaitley will present the NDA govt’s second budget, one of the most anticipated in recent times, on February 28. Calls for a big-bang budget are ..
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WHY: Only substantial higher growth can create jobs and address poverty

HOW: Investments have to pick up
WHY: Only substantial higher growth can create jobs and address poverty

HOW: Investments have to pick up
WHY: Greater spending will encourage manufacturing and add to growth

HOW: Cut in tax rates needs to be balanced with fi scal and revenue needs3) Revive Investment Through Greater Public SpendingWHY: Heavily indebted private sector not in position to invest

HOW: Better spending management to spare resources for capital spending Aggressive disinvestment to raise more funds
WHY: Greater spending will encourage manufacturing and add to growth

HOW: Cut in tax rates needs to be balanced with fi scal and revenue needs3) Revive Investment Through Greater Public Spend..
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Why

Will establish government credibility and maintain positive foreign sentimentIt will help keep infl ation in check and allow RBI to cut rates further

Ratings upgrade that can fetch more dollars if government

establishes fi scal credentials Help keep CAD in check, support rupee

HOW

Has to be balanced with the need for greater public investment Disinvestment has to play a big role again

Reduce subisides throughbetter targetting and cutting the scope of food law
Why

Will establish government credibility and maintain positive foreign sentimentIt will help keep infl ation in check and allow RBI to cut rates further

Ratings upgrade that can fetc..
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WHY: Low interest rates possible when this issue is addressed

HOW: Higher farm productivity, investment in infrastructure
WHY: Low interest rates possible when this issue is addressed

HOW: Higher farm productivity, investment in infrastructure
WHY: Extra funds for anything can only come from disinvestment

HOW: Disinvestment needs to be managed better Bigger targets and round-the-year effort
WHY: Extra funds for anything can only come from disinvestment

HOW: Disinvestment needs to be managed better Bigger targets and round-the-year effort
WHY: NPA-laden state-run banks not in position to support infrastructure investment

HOW: Capital support from the government and a bad loan strategy

One-time cleanup of the system
WHY: NPA-laden state-run banks not in position to support infrastructure investment

HOW: Capital support from the government and a bad loan strategy

One-time cleanup of the system
WHY: Higher fi nancial savings will provide funds for investments & also help lower current account defi cit, support rupee

HOW: Jan Dhan Yojana is a step in that direction More savings incentives can be offered
WHY: Higher fi nancial savings will provide funds for investments & also help lower current account defi cit, support rupee

HOW: Jan Dhan Yojana is a step in that direction More savings incen..
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WHY: Biggest reason for downturn in investment cycle

HOW: Govt has repeatedly assured investors
WHY: Biggest reason for downturn in investment cycle

HOW: Govt has repeatedly assured investors
WHY: Can help ‘Make in India’

HOW: Needs a constant effort
WHY: Can help ‘Make in India’

HOW: Needs a constant effort
READ MORE
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