From IL&FS crisis to Templeton fiasco, how & why the debt market crisis unfolded
Liquidity crunch and risk aversion have been major issues plaguing the financial sector.

Indian debt market has had a tough ride for a few years now. The slowdown in the domestic economy and the liquidity crisis following the IL&FS fiasco had bruised the debt market sufficiently in the pre-Covid months. And then the lockdown and other restrictions following the outbreak of the pandemic only accentuated the situation.
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Liquidity crunch and risk aversion have been major issues plaguing the financial sector for some time now. In the current scenario, there is a tendency among the investors to dump risky assets and turn to safe havens amid an uncertain economic outlook. This has, in turn, led to increased redemption pressure in the debt market that fuelled the liquidity crunch. While RBI has announced various measures to ensure liquidity in the market, its effectiveness seems to be limited.
RBI announced Special Liquidity Facility worth of Rs 50,000 crore for mutual funds. Similarly, the central bank has also conducted Targeted Long-Term Repo Operation (TLTRO) with a similar objective.
Risk aversion was dominant in the economy, and it got further heightened in the current crisis. For instance, the asset quality review (AQR) initiated by RBI in 2015 made the banks risk averse as they were in a hurry to clean up balance sheets. The IL&FS and DHFL crises that ensued made the situation even worse, as banks became more cautious in lending.
Consequently, several sectors such as real estate faced huge liquidity crunch, as they relied mainly on NBFCs for funds. It needs to be highlighted that the collapse of IL&FS was linked to a structural issue in the economy, as it was the result of a delay in the commencement of various projects due to issues involving land acquisition. And that crisis played a major role in creating the risk- aversion, which resulted in the debt market crisis.
In the current scenario, business activities are being hit badly due to the Covid-19 pandemic. It creates an uncertain situation on whether bond issuers will be able to fulfil their obligations. The measures announced by RBI and the government only helped create buyers for top-rated papers. But there are no takers for the low-rated ones even at higher yields, as the risk appetite of investors weakened.
Debt funds that invested in these low-rated papers are in a difficult spot, as the investors are rushing for redemption. Similarly, the NBFC sector is cash-strapped with limited access to funds unlike banks. Thus, with limited liquidity in the NBFC sector, there are chances that NBFCs would delay or default on payments on securities held by debt mutual funds.
(Deepthi Mary Mathew is an Economist with Geojit Financial Services. Views are her own)
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