FMCG companies resume stock supply post GST shift break

While some of the fresh stock is either priced lower or is coming with increased grammage, prices of some products will remain unchanged for at least a month.

NEW DELHI: After a four-day shutdown to migrate to the new goods & services tax ( GST) structure, consumer behemoths such as Hindustan Unilever and Coca-Cola have resumed dispatches to their stockists and distributors, easing concerns of retail point availability. Reckitt Benckiser, HUL, Dabur, Coca-Cola, Marico and Parle Products said they have started sending fresh stocks to trade channels after ensuring GST-compliant invoicing.

While some of the fresh stock is either priced lower or is coming with increased grammage, prices of some products will remain unchanged for at least a month. Aspokesperson for HUL, maker of Lux soap and Surf detergents, said: “Our systems have transitioned and we have started despatches from factories and depots. Most of our distributors will be starting normal despatch of our products shortly.” Beverage maker Coca-Cola, too, said it has transitioned to GST.

“Hindustan Coca-Cola Beverages (HCCB) has carried out enablement, sensitisation and capability building sessions for its 4,000-strong distributor base. Implementing changes has not been an easy task,” an HCCB spokesperson said. Dabur, maker of Real juice and Fem bleaches, and had stopped primary sales from June 29, will start invoicing of primary sales from Tuesday, a company official said.Meanwhile, distributors of Reckitt Benckiser, Parle Products and HUL said they have not received fresh stock from the companies since GST kicked in since July 1.

“Supply has not been so robust for the last few weeks and since implementation, we have not received any stock,” said a Delhi-based distributor working with multiple firms. Another distributor of a large FMCG company said that “while supply has been irregular, we still have old stock that we are sending to retailers. There is no shortage of goods in the market.” Tax expert Abhishek Rastogi said consumer goods firms have been facing a dual problem.

“One is the issue of pricing where they need to be careful of the anti-profiteering clause, and second, clearance of products on which taxes of the pre-GST regime were paid. As old stock in shops gets cleared, demand is expected to increase and supply will resume. All of this will hopefully get sorted within this month,” said Rastogi, a partner with taxation consulting firm Khaitan & Co.

Eligible closing balance of tax credits in the previous regime will transition into opening balance for the GST era. In case the invoices are not there, the wholesalers and retailers will be able to claim input tax credits on unsold inventory to the extent of 40-60 per cent. The government has given a time frame of six months for clearing the old stock and availing this benefit. There are provisions which have been incorporated for high-value items of more than Rs 25,000 for which the credit can be given by way of the credit transfer document.
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However, price changes will start reflecting in new stocks starting Tuesday only partially. An official at biscuit maker Britannia said the company plans to drop prices of some brands like Good Day, but will take a price increase on entry-level brand Tiger.

“We will action price decrease in the first fortnight of July,” said the official. Reckitt Benckiser too plans to drop prices of Dettol soap or increase grammage on fresh stock from this week. Others such as Parle Products, Dabur, Godrej Consumer Products and Bisleri said any price changes would take at least a month.
How GST will impact sectors
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Goods and services tax (GST) has become a reality from July 1.

There are expectations that the tax reform will boost the Indian economy and huge shift will be seen from unorganised to organised sector.

However, some near term hiccups can be seen for the next one or two quarters.

According to market experts, job creation will remain a concern as the unorganised sector shifts towards the organized sector.

In the coming slides, ETMarkets.com looks at the various sectors and likely impact of GST on them.
Goods and services tax (GST) has become a reality from July 1. There are expectations that the tax reform will boost the Indian economy and huge shift will be seen from unorganised to organised sect..
Read More
Fast moving consumer goods sector will benefit from the GST due to the present of big unorganised market.

GST rate for products like hair oil, soaps and toothpaste has been lowered by 500-600 bps from the previous rates.

Companies such as Colgate-Palmolive, HUL, Britannia, Heritage Foods etc will benefit from the move.
Fast moving consumer goods sector will benefit from the GST due to the present of big unorganised market. GST rate for products like hair oil, soaps and toothpaste has been lowered by 500-600 bps fr..
Read More
Pharmaceutical products will see 12 per cent GST as against earlier rate of 10 per cent.

Angel Broking believes companies will be able to pass on this full impact to the patients.

The healthcare sector will remain exempt from the GST however the inputs by the healthcare sector will be taxed at 18 per cent leading to rise in the operating costs.

Companies like Dr Lal Pathlabs will benefit.
Pharmaceutical products will see 12 per cent GST as against earlier rate of 10 per cent. Angel Broking believes companies will be able to pass on this full impact to the patients. The healthcare se..
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White good players were previously taxed at 27 per cent (including 13.5 per cent VAT) against 28 per cent under the new GST regime.

There are expectations that with GST coming in picture, there will be some increase in the prices of most consumer durable items.

However, market analysts do not see any significant impact on the margins of the consumer durable companies post GST implementation.

One should keep an eye on companies like Crompton Greaves, Symphony, Whirlpool, Havells and Voltas.
White good players were previously taxed at 27 per cent (including 13.5 per cent VAT) against 28 per cent under the new GST regime. There are expectations that with GST coming in picture, there will..
Read More
Travelling in business class will become expensive as after the rollout of GST, tax rate will increase from 9 per cent to 12 per cent.

However, GST on economy class is set at 5 per cent, lower than the previous 6 per cent.

Aviation Turbine Fuel has kept outside the GST and the indirect tax structure will continue. As a result, aviation companies will now face two set of taxes, i. e. GST and indirect tax.

Tax input credit under the GST is only available on input services for economy class travel.

Lower tax rate on economy travel is positive for companies like InterGlobe Aviation, Jet Airways and SpiceJet.
Travelling in business class will become expensive as after the rollout of GST, tax rate will increase from 9 per cent to 12 per cent. However, GST on economy class is set at 5 per cent, lower than ..
Read More
With the service tax being subsumed into your overall GST, the rate of GST on financial services stands modified from 15 per cent to 18 per cent.

Angel Broking in a blog explains that on a 1 per cent round brokerage, your overall cost due to the subsuming of service tax into GST will be about 0.03 per cent or 3 basis points.

From a long-term investor’s perspective, this may not be too significant since the overall shift is just about 3 basis points.

However, for short term traders, this 3 basis points additional cost will change the economics of churning their funds in the equity markets.

Whether that actually impacts the eventual volumes and liquidity in the markets remains to be seen.

One thing investors and traders need to watch out for in the equity market is whether this higher cost results increases the basis risk or not.

Shares of companies like Motilal Oswal Financial Services, Edelweiss Financial, Geojit Financial Services etc will remain in limelight.
With the service tax being subsumed into your overall GST, the rate of GST on financial services stands modified from 15 per cent to 18 per cent. Angel Broking in a blog explains that on a 1 per cen..
Read More
According to Angel Broking, GST implementation is expected to be neutral for the cement industry.

Earlier, cement was taxed at 12.5 per cent excise and VAT rates between 12.5-15.5 per cent. Under GST, the cement will be taxed at 28 per cent, which is nearly the same as the current tax structure.

Reduction in the prices of coal and GST will benefit cement companies further.

D-Street investor should keep an eye on companies like UltraTech Cement, Birla Corporation, JK Lakshmi Cement, Deccan Cement and India Cement etc.
According to Angel Broking, GST implementation is expected to be neutral for the cement industry. Earlier, cement was taxed at 12.5 per cent excise and VAT rates between 12.5-15.5 per cent. Under GS..
Read More
The sector is facing severe pressure in the form of intense competition from Reliance Jio.

Under the GST regime, telecom services will be taxed at 18 per cent as against 15 per cent earlier.

There are expectations that it will work as a salt on the wound for the sector.

Any price increase will further dampen the scenario.

Bharti Airtel, Idea Celluar and Reliance Communication should be eyed on stock market.
The sector is facing severe pressure in the form of intense competition from Reliance Jio. Under the GST regime, telecom services will be taxed at 18 per cent as against 15 per cent earlier. There ..
Read More
The GST rates are mostly expected to be neutral to the auto sector except for the hybrid cars which will be taxed at the 28 per cent GST +15 per cent cess.

Most other vehicle categories will not see significant change from the current tax structure.

Tractors category will be taxed at 12 per cent against current 6-7 per cent which will be negative for the tractor companies.

Demonetisation and BSIII norms have already hurt the sector during the first half of 2017.

Under the GST, input tax credit will not be available for the dealers for the stocks existing before 1st July hence companies are offering discounts on their vehicles. This is expected to result in margin pressure in the June quarter.

Stocks such as Exide Industries, Minda Industries and Amara Raja Batteries should be watched by investors.
The GST rates are mostly expected to be neutral to the auto sector except for the hybrid cars which will be taxed at the 28 per cent GST +15 per cent cess. Most other vehicle categories will not see..
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The effective GST rate on under-construction real estate projects will be 12 per cent only and not 18 per cent as there will be abatement for land cost, according to a report by PTI quoting tax consultant EY.

Brokerage firm Edelweiss in a research note said, “We believe impact on property prices under GST will be driven by cost structure and extent of input credit available under GST passed to buyer.”

One should keep an eye on companies like Sobha, Brigade Enterprises, Oberoi Realty and Sunteck.
The effective GST rate on under-construction real estate projects will be 12 per cent only and not 18 per cent as there will be abatement for land cost, according to a report by PTI quoting tax consu..
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