HDFC Securities maintains 'buy' on Shree Cement

HDFC Securities has maintained its “buy” rating on the stock, saying it expects the earnings of the company to grow at a CAGR of 17% over FY08 to FY10E (estimated).

Shree Cement
cmp: Rs 493.45
target price: Rs 803

HDFC Securities has maintained its ���buy��� rating on the stock, saying it expects the earnings of the company to grow at a CAGR of 17% over FY08 to FY10E (estimated). ���We expect Q2FY09E revenues to grow by 18.2% year-on-year(Y-o-Y) to Rs 5,512 million, driven by 8.6% Y-o-Y increase in sales volume to 1.63 mt and 3.7% Y-o-Y increase in realisations to Rs 3,223 per tonne,��� said HDFC Securities in a note to its clients.

The brokerage has a cautious view on the cement sector because of repeated deadlock between the government and cement industry. ���Demand growth fell sharply in Northern region (key market of Shree Cement) to around 4% during the period April���August ���08 compared to 12% during April-August 2007.

Capacity utilisation rate during the same period declined to the levels of around 79%,��� said the note. The brokerage has maintained its EPS estimates of Rs 125 and Rs 102.7 for FY09 and FY10, respectively, for the stock.
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