D-Street poised for a cautious opening as GIFT Nifty signals muted start

Domestic equities started the week on a cautious note, with the Nifty gaining 13 points to close at 24,583, supported by stock-specific buying amid the ongoing Q1 earnings season. Analysts say market momentum is likely to remain constructive this week, with the final leg of the Q1 earnings season set to drive both stock-specific and broader market action. As earnings announcements taper off, investors are likely to focus on the sustainability of the earnings recovery and emerging sectoral trends. Developments around the US-Iran negotiations, crude oil prices and US inflation data will also remain key drivers of market direction and global risk appetite.

STATE OF THE MARKETS

GIFT Nifty (Earlier SGX Nifty) signals a muted start

GIFT Nifty on the NSE IX traded lower by 15 points, or 0.06 per cent, at 24,616.50, signaling that Dalal Street was headed for a muted start on Tuesday.


Tech View: The 24,650 level remains a key resistance; a decisive move above this level might induce a sustained rally in the market. On the lower end, support is placed at 24,500, below which weakness might intensify. Until then, we expect range-bound and lacklustre movement.

India VIX: India VIX, which is a measure of the fear in the markets, rose 0.8% to settle at 12.24 levels.

Read Also: Ahead of Market: 10 things that will decide stock market action on Tuesday



US stocks end lower

The Nasdaq closed lower on Monday, with declines in Intel and other chipmakers, as investors became less confident about a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. U.S. President Donald Trump demanded that Iran pay compensation for the people he said it had killed in wars, attacks ‌and protests. Earlier, Iran ⁠called for ⁠Washington to meet conditions, including recompensing Tehran for the damage caused since the U.S. and Israel launched strikes on its territory more than five months ago.


Asian shares down

Asian stocks and equity-index futures for US benchmarks edged lower. Australian government bonds fell ahead of an expected policy-rate hold by the central bank. Gold extended its advance for a third day, trading at about $4,400 an ounce.

• S&P 500 futures were little changed as of 9:05 a.m. Tokyo time
• Hang Seng futures were little changed
• Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.2%
• Euro Stoxx 50 futures rose 0.1%

Oil steadies
Oil prices steadied on Tuesday at more than one-week highs ​amid fading hopes of a ​deal between the U.S. and Iran to end their war ​and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, after President Donald Trump demanded compensation for damage the U.S. has incurred.

Gold rises
Gold rose for a third straight session on ​Tuesday to hit ​a more than two-month high, while market participants ​focused on upcoming inflation data for signals on the U.S. interest-rate outlook.

Stocks in F&O ban today
1) Bandhan Bank
2) SAIL

Securities in the ban period under the F&O segment include companies in which the security has crossed 95% of the market-wide position limit.

FII/DII action
Foreign portfolio investors net bought shares worth Rs 1,974 crore on Monday. DIIs, meanwhile, were net sellers at Rs 1,290 crore.

Rupee
The Indian rupee ended little changed on Monday, wedged between firmer oil prices and likely intervention by the central bank, which traders reckon has started to deter fresh short positions on the South Asian currency.

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