Gold down 5.6%, silver 10.8% in a month: Should you buy the dip or wait? Experts answer

Gold and silver prices have seen a significant dip on the MCX, prompting questions for investors. Experts attribute the fall to a strong dollar, potential Fed rate hikes, and profit-booking. While a recovery is possible with macro triggers, analys...

ET Online
Silver price today
Even though there was a spike in the gold spot price over the last couple of days, on Friday, June 3, 3036, the price on the Multi Commodity Exchange of India (MCX) dropped by 5.65% compared to June 3, 2026, going from Rs 1,54,529/10g down to Rs 1,45,789/10g. During the same period, the MCX silver spot rate fell by 10.78%, from Rs 2,61,939/kg on June 3 down to Rs 2,33,701 on July 3.

The MCX data for the past month (23 sessions in total), shows that gold prices fell 13 times, rose 9 times and were unchanged on one occasion. Silver prices, meanwhile, dropped 14 times, rose 8 times, and remained unchanged once.

With gold and silver prices significantly lower this month, is it a good time for investors to buy on a dip? Should existing investors hold on to their gold and silver investments and consider accumulating more while prices are low?


Gold spot price on MCX since June 3 (Showing daily price fluctuations and total change)

Date

Spot Price (₹/10g)

Change (₹)

03-Jun-26

1,54,529



04-Jun-26

1,55,392

863

05-Jun-26

1,53,959

-1,433

08-Jun-26

1,50,235

-3,724

09-Jun-26

1,51,747

1,512

10-Jun-26

1,46,695

-5,052

11-Jun-26

1,44,730

-1,965

12-Jun-26

1,47,367

2,637

15-Jun-26

1,50,133

2,766

16-Jun-26

1,50,192

59

17-Jun-26

1,49,738

-454

18-Jun-26

1,47,677

-2,061

19-Jun-26

1,44,606

-3,071

22-Jun-26

1,46,740

2,134

23-Jun-26

1,44,323

-2,417

24-Jun-26

1,42,512

-1,811

25-Jun-26

1,39,843

-2,669

26-Jun-26

1,39,843

0

29-Jun-26

1,41,068

1,225

30-Jun-26

1,40,864

-204

01-Jul-26

1,40,269

-595

02-Jul-26

1,42,464

2,195

03-Jul-26

1,45,789

3,325

Total Change (03 Jun → 03 Jul)

-8,740


Silver spot price on MCX since June 3 (Showing daily price fluctuations and total change)

Date

Spot Price (₹/kg)

Change (₹)

03-Jun-26

2,61,939



04-Jun-26

2,60,255

-1,684

05-Jun-26

2,57,129

-3,126

08-Jun-26

2,41,617

-15,512

09-Jun-26

2,45,657

4,040

10-Jun-26

2,33,648

-12,009

11-Jun-26

2,33,231

-417

12-Jun-26

2,41,306

8,075

15-Jun-26

2,51,327

10,021

16-Jun-26

2,49,333

-1,994

17-Jun-26

2,47,576

-1,757

18-Jun-26

2,41,330

-6,246

19-Jun-26

2,31,829

-9,501

22-Jun-26

2,37,793

5,964

23-Jun-26

2,27,482

-10,311

24-Jun-26

2,23,754

-3,728

25-Jun-26

2,18,680

-5,074

26-Jun-26

2,18,680

0

29-Jun-26

2,19,348

668

30-Jun-26

2,25,125

5,777

01-Jul-26

2,23,537

-1,588

02-Jul-26

2,28,597

5,060

03-Jul-26

2,33,701

5,104

Total Change (03 Jun → 03 Jul)

-28,238


Why have gold and silver rates fallen? Can they recover soon?

Prithviraj Kothari, managing director at RiddiSiddhi Bullions Ltd, president of India Bullion and Jewellers Association Ltd. (IBJA), told ET Wealth Online that a stronger dollar, expectations of a Fed rate hike later this year, resilient US jobs and inflation data, and profit-booking after 2025's huge rally are the main reasons behind price falls.

Kothari says silver is falling faster than gold due to softer industrial demand.

Kothari says a price recovery in precious metals is possible but it needs a fresh macro trigger such as rate cuts, renewed geopolitical stress, or fading dollar strength.
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Should investors grab the opportunity to invest in gold and silver at lower rates compared to a month ago?

Vedika Narvekar, research analyst, Anand Rathi Share and Stock Brokers, expects gold to initially test Rs 1,40,000 per 10 grams, with Rs 1,34,500 acting as a strong support level in a worst-case scenario.
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Narvekar suggests long-term investors to consider accumulating gold in 3–4 tranches, investing gradually from current levels and adding on every 2% correction.

For traders, Narvekar suggests a buy-on-dips and sell-near-resistance strategy to make the most of the current gold prices.

For silver, Narvekar predicts a support zone near Rs 2,20,000 and resistance near Rs 2,60,000.

What can existing gold and silver investors do?

Kothari suggests existing holders can treat gold investment as a consolidation phase rather than a reversal of the broader trend, especially if they bought it as a long-term hedge.

“Rebalancing between gold and silver, or trimming silver (the more volatile leg) if allocations have grown too large, is worth considering. Keep an eye on Fed commentary and dollar strength, since these are the key near-term swing factors,” suggest Kothari.

Narvekar says although prices have corrected significantly from their recent highs, volatility in gold and silver prices is likely to remain high in the near term.

Narvekar recommends that investors should avoid aggressive lump sum investments at higher levels and instead accumulate gradually through staggered purchases or SIP-style investments.

Which are the best forms of gold and silver investments?

Kothari says paper or digital forms can work best for pure investment goals, while physical gold makes more sense for those who also want to use, gift, or gain sentimental value from the metal.

Narvekar suggests gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are ideal for investors seeking liquidity, transparency, and ease of trading.

“Gold mutual funds are suitable for investors who prefer SIPs and do not have a demat account. Digital gold can be considered for small, convenience-based purchase,” says Narvekar.
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