Here's a look at the first phase of Gujarat elections 2017 through numbers
In 2012, BJP won 63 of the 89 constituencies going for polls in the first phase of Gujarat elections, while the Congress got only 22 seats. Others won four seats.

Factors at play
Anti-incumbency
BJP has to tackle a natural element of ANTI-INCUMBENCY that builds up after a long stint.
Discourse on development
BJP’s 22-year track record. Does the development slogan still work?
CM face
BJP’s best face is PM, but not CM any longer; absence of CM face for Congress.

Rise of a section of the Patidars led by Hardik Patel; support lent to Congress by Alpesh Thakor (OBC) and Jignesh Mewani (Dalit).
GST
A negative perception about demonetisation and GST against the ruling party.
Controversies

Rajkot (West): VIJAY RUPANI vs Congress’ INDRANIL RAJYAGURU
Amreli: Patidar-dominated seat; Cong’s sitting MLA PARESH DHANANI vs BJP heavyweight BAVKUBHAI UNDHAD
Porbandar: Cong’s ARJUN MODHWADIA vs BJP’s BABU BOKHIRIA
Bhavnagar West: State BJP chief JITU VAGHANI
Jetpur: JAYESHBHAI RADADIYA
Jamnagar North: DHARAMENDRASINH JADEJA
Jamnagar South: Former BJP state chief RC FALDU
Dholka: Education minister BHUPENDRASINH CHUDASAMA
Mahuwa (ST): TUSHARBHAI CHAUDHARY
Limbdi: SOMABHAI G PATEL
Botad: Former energy minister SAURABHBHAI PATEL
Bharuch: Cong’s JAYESHBHAI AMBALAL PATEL vs BJP’s DUSHYANTBHAI RAJNEEKANT PATEL
Ankleshwar: BJP’s ISHWARSINH THAKORBHAI PATEL against Cong’s ANILKUMAR BHAGAT
Jhagadia: Bharatiya Tribal Party CHHOTUBHAI AMARSINH VASAVA (backed by Cong) vs BJP’s RAVJI VASAVA



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