TN Elections 2026: How can Vijay's TVK form government in Tamil Nadu? Check the possible scenarios here

With counting trends showing Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) leading in a large number of seats but likely falling short of the 118-seat majority mark, Tamil Nadu appears headed for a hung assembly. As the numbers stand, actor-turned-politician Vijay’s party is in a strong position to stake claim for government formation through smart post-poll alliances.

Also read: TN Elections 2026: How many seats are required to form government in Tamil Nadu? Check the majority mark here

TN Elections 2026: Current Situation in Tamil Nadu

Early trends on May 4, 2026, indicate that TVK has made a stunning debut and is leading in over 90–100 seats. However, it is still short of the magic number of 118 seats required to form the government on its own in the 234-member Tamil Nadu Assembly. This has opened up the possibility of a hung house and intense backroom negotiations.

Three Possible Ways TVK Can Form the Government

1. Alliance with Smaller Parties and Independents

TVK can reach the majority mark by securing outside support from smaller parties, independents, and smaller regional outfits. With many smaller players and independents winning or leading in a few seats, Vijay’s party could stitch together the required numbers without compromising too much on its core ideology.

2. Post-Poll Understanding with AIADMK

A more realistic and impactful option could be a post-poll alliance or support from AIADMK. Although the two parties contested separately, AIADMK may prefer to back TVK rather than let DMK return to power. This combination could create a formidable anti-DMK front in the state.

3. Issue-Based or Conditional Support from Other Parties

TVK could also explore conditional or issue-based support from parties like Congress, PMK, or even some disgruntled elements within other alliances. This route would allow Vijay to form the government while maintaining political independence and bargaining power.

What Lies Ahead for Tamil Nadu

The final outcome will depend on how the remaining rounds of counting go and how quickly post-poll negotiations begin. If TVK crosses 100 seats, it will be almost impossible for any other party to ignore Vijay’s claim to form the government.

Vijay’s TVK has already changed the political arithmetic of Tamil Nadu in its very first election. Whether it forms the government or sits as a powerful opposition, the party has firmly established itself as a major player in the state.