Joe Biden has solid lead in Wisconsin, narrower edge in Pennsylvania

Reuters/Ipsos is polling likely voters in six states - Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, Florida and Arizona - that will play critical roles in deciding whether Trump wins a second term in office or if Biden ousts him.

AFP
Early voting has shot to record levels amid the coronavirus pandemic.
Democratic presidential challenger Joe Biden led President Donald Trump by a solid margin in Wisconsin and maintained a narrower advantage in Pennsylvania with just over a week until Election Day, Reuters/Ipsos opinion polls showed on Monday.

Reuters/Ipsos is polling likely voters in six states - Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, Florida and Arizona - that will play critical roles in deciding whether Trump wins a second term in office or if Biden ousts him.

Below is a state-by-state look at Reuters/Ipsos findings, based on the online responses of likely voters, which include responses from some who cast ballots ahead of the formal Nov. 3 Election Day. Early voting has shot to record levels amid the coronavirus pandemic:


WISCONSIN (Oct. 20 - Oct. 26):
  • Voting for Biden: 53%
  • Voting for Trump: 44%
  • Biden's advantage is marginally wider than his 51%-43% lead the prior week.
  • 33% said they already had voted.
  • 52% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 38% said Trump would be better.
  • 47% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden would be better.

PENNSYLVANIA (Oct. 20 - Oct. 26):
  • Voting for Biden: 50%
  • Voting for Trump: 45%
  • Biden's lead is marginally wider than in the prior week when he was up 49%-45%, an advantage that was on the edge of the survey's credibility interval.
  • 21% said they already had voted.
  • 50% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 42% said Trump would be better.
  • 50% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 43% said Biden would be better.

FLORIDA (Oct. 14 - Oct. 20)
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  • Voting for Biden: 50%
  • Voting for Trump: 46%
  • Biden's apparent lead is on the edge of the survey's credibility interval.
  • Prior poll showed the two essentially even, with Biden at 49% and Trump at 47%.
  • 21% said they already had voted.
  • 50% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 42% said Trump would be better.
  • 51% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden would be better.

ARIZONA (Oct. 14 - Oct. 21):
  • Voting for Biden: 49%
  • Voting for Trump: 46%
  • With the margin within the survey's credibility interval, the race is statistically tied.
  • Prior poll showed Biden with a 50%-46% lead that was on the edge of the survey's credibility interval.
  • 27% said they already had voted.
  • 49% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 43% said Trump would be better.
  • 48% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden would be better.

MICHIGAN (Oct. 14 - Oct. 20):
  • Voting for Biden: 51%
  • Voting for Trump: 44%
  • Biden was up 51%-43% the prior week.
  • 28% said they already had voted.
  • 52% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 40% said Trump would be better.
  • 48% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden would be better.

NORTH CAROLINA (Oct. 14 - Oct. 20):
  • Voting for Biden: 49%
  • Voting for Trump: 46%
  • Since the margin is within the poll's credibility interval, the race is statistically tied, as it was in the prior poll when Biden had 48% to Trump's 47%.
  • 18% said they already had voted.
  • 49% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 45% said Trump would be better.
  • 51% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 43% said Biden would be better.

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