China leaves key lending rates unchanged for 5th straight month in October as US trade tensions simmer

China has kept its key lending rates unchanged for the fifth month. This decision comes as economic growth shows signs of slowing. Policymakers are being cautious with stimulus measures. Trade tensions with the United States are also a significant...

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China left benchmark lending rates unchanged for the fifth consecutive month in October on Monday, meeting market expectations despite signs of slowing economic momentum.

The decision to hold steady on Loan Prime Rate (LPR) fixings highlights policymakers' caution in introducing fresh monetary stimulus ahead of a key policy meeting this week. The move comes amid trade tensions between Beijing and Washington.

BY THE NUMBERS



The one-year loan prime rate was kept at 3.0%, while the five-year LPR was unchanged at 3.5%.

Most new and outstanding loans in China are based on the one-year LPR, while the five-year rate influences the pricing of mortgages.

In a Reuters survey of 27 market participants conducted last week, all participants predicted no change to either of the two rates.

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CONTEXT


Beijing and Washington have once again imposed tit-for-tat measures amid intensifying trade tensions. China announced it would increase rare earth export controls and U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to raise tariffs on Chinese goods to 100% and tighten software export curbs from November 1.

The Fourth Plenum, from October 20 to 23, will outline the government's economic, political and social agenda as well as its development plans for the next five years.

Meanwhile, China is due to release third-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) and other activity indicators at 0200 GMT.

A Reuters poll showed that China's economic growth likely slowed to a one-year low in the third quarter as a prolonged property downturn and trade tensions weigh on demand, keeping pressure on policymakers to roll out more stimulus to shore up confidence and momentum.
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