Will Donald Trump win a landslide in U.S election 2024? Here's what Nate Silver is saying

The latest election forecast of Nate Silver revealed that former US President Donald Trump has a 21.4% chance of winning the seven extremely crucial swing states which is eventually double the probability for US Vice President Kamala Harris which stands at 12.6%, reported Newsweek. If Donald Trump ends up winning all the seven swing states namely, Arizona, Michigan, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, then he would end up securing 312 Electoral College votes which will surpass the 270 mark required for victory.

According to Newsweek, the model of Nate Silver suggested that Republican Presidential candidate Donald Trump will have a clean sweep on the swing states and that is the most likely outcome whereas a complete win for Democratic Presidential nominee Kamala Harris ranks second.

In spite of Kamala Harris’s narrow lead in the national polls which currently stands at 48.5% to Donald Trump’s 47.8%, Nate Silver gave a prediction that Donald Trump has a chance of 52.6% to win the Electoral College in comparison to Kamala Harris’s 47%. Newsweek also noted that the model by Nate Silver shows that while Kamala Harris is much more likely to win the popular vote, the chances of her to achieve a landslide victory stands at just 1.1% while Donald Trump stands at 0.1%.


Newsweek asserted that polling and poll surveys has remained extremely close all throughout the US Presidential election cycle while Nate Silver emphasized on the fact that the Presidential race is essentially a toss-up while highlighting the unpredictable nature of the US Presidential Election Day outcomes.

Also Read : Days before U.S elections, Donald Trump's lead over Kamala Harris collapses, he has lost momentum

FAQs:

What is the latest prediction of Nate Silver?
Eminent pollster Nate Silver revealed that former US President Donald Trump will have a clean sweep on the seven crucial swing states.

Which Presidential candidate is leading in the latest national polls?
US Vice President Kamala Harris is currently having a pretty narrow lead in the national polls.