US midterm election 2026: Democrats may stun Donald Trump, Republican party by winning majority, claims election forecaster, shows how

Donald Trump faces challenges to thwart the political momentum of Democrats ahead of November 3 US midterm elections.

AP
US President Donald Trump ahead of the November 3 US midterm elections. (AP Photo)
US midterm elections 2026 are scheduled to be held on November 3 and President Donald Trump's Republican Party may experience a jolt as Democrats is predicted to get a surprise majority, according to election forecaster.

Democratic Party is likely to flip the House of Representative election race as the opposition party is likely to win in 15 seats where President Trump received decisive mandate in 2024, Newsweek reported citing political forecaster VoteHub.

Democrats to Flip 15 Seats?


Seats where Democratic Party is gaining momentum to overturn the 2024 Presidential election's favourable mandate for Trump and Republican Party are -- Arizona 1st, Arizona 6th, Iowa 1st, Iowa 3rd, Michigan 7th, Michigan 10th, Nebraska 2nd, North Carolina 11th, Ohio 7th, Pennsylvania 7th, Pennsylvania 8th, Pennsylvania 10th, Texas 15th, Utah 1st, and Wisconsin 3rd.

It will be incredibly challenging for President Trump to thwart the political momentum of Democrats ahead of November 3 US midterm elections.

Republicans Remain Hopeful of Donald Trump Victory
ADVERTISEMENT

However, Speaker Mike Johnson said he believes Republicans will hold on to their U.S. House majority, defying a surge of Democratic momentum in the final stretch of the midterm elections that will determine control of Congress. It's the crowds he says he’s seeing as he crosses the country campaigning for GOP candidates. The caliber of recruits and incumbents he calls workhorses, not show horses. And the nearly half a billion he has raised for House Republicans.

The speaker of the House is one of the most consequential elected officials in the United States, second in line of succession to the president. While Johnson quipped to Fox News recently that he may return to his hometown of Shreveport, Louisiana, to start a lawn care business if Republicans lose power on November 3, he fully expects to buck an American midterm tradition that often sees the president’s party dumped in Congress.

A voter drops off their election ballots at a drive-through ballot drop box outside the registrar of voters' office during the California primary election in San Diego, California, U.S., June 2, 2026.
A voter drops off their election ballots at a drive-through ballot drop box outside the registrar of voters' office during the California primary election in San Diego, California, U.S., June 2, 2026.
Meanwhile, the US Justice Department on Friday warned Los Angeles County and California election officials they could be liable as abettors of a federal crime if they count mail ballots returned by more than 20,000 people the Trump administration says are probably noncitizens.

The warning to the Los Angeles County Assistant Counsel Peter Bollinger came less than three weeks before the November 3 midterm elections and days after the department gave California 48 hours to review a list of alleged noncitizen voters or face legal action. On Thursday, the Justice Department sued California to block the state from counting the ballots.
ADVERTISEMENT

"Noncitizen voting in a federal election is a federal crime — and knowingly facilitating such conduct is equally unlawful," Trent McCotter, the acting US deputy attorney general, wrote in a letter released on Friday. McCotter called on the county and California's secretary of state to reconsider their refusal to take steps that the Trump administration argues are needed to deter voter fraud.

FILE PHOTO: Calfiornia Primary Election
FILE PHOTO: People arrive to drop off their election ballots or vote during the California primary election in San Diego, California, U.S., June 2, 2026. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo
US President Donald Trump shared the letter on Truth Social with the comment: "They will all go to jail for a long period of time!!!"
ADVERTISEMENT

In July, Trump said his administration had uncovered evidence of more than 275,000 non-citizens registered to vote, but it was not clear how many had actually voted.

In some previous cases, systems intended to verify citizenship have mistakenly flagged some naturalized US citizens as noncitizens. Studies have found that noncitizens casting actual ballots is exceedingly uncommon.

Election 2026 Voter Registration
How to update your voter registration after moving or changing your name before the US midterm elections(AP Photo/LM Otero)
Since July, the Justice Department has ramped up prosecutions of people accused of illegally voting while not holding US citizenship. The White House has also pushed federal agencies to accelerate their review of at least 47 state voter rolls obtained by the Department of Homeland Security, according to an internal email seen by Reuters.
Download
The Economic Times Business News App
for the Latest News in Business, Sensex, Stock Market Updates & More.
Download
The Economic Times News App
for Quarterly Results, Latest News in ITR, Business, Share Market, Live Sensex News & More.
READ MORE
ADVERTISEMENT

READ MORE:

LOGIN & CLAIM

50 TIMESPOINTS

More from our Partners

Loading next story
Business News › News › International › US News › US midterm election 2026: Democrats may stun Donald Trump, Republican party by winning majority, claims election forecaster, shows how
Text Size:AAA
Success
This article has been saved

*

+