U.S. Elections: In this poll, Kamala Harris leads by 6 points over Donald Trump, helped by independent voters

According to the most recent Morning Consult poll, Kamala Harris's lead over Donald Trump in the polls has reached all-time highs. That is double the lead the vice president had before their ABC debate last week, with 51 per cent of likely voters supporting her against 45 per cent for Trump. A significant majority of independent voters, 47 per cent, said they intended to support Harris in the November election, according to the poll. With another 6% voting for a third-party candidate and another 41% saying the same about Trump, 6 per cent were unsure about their choice. Winnable battleground states in November's election are anticipated to depend heavily on independent voters.

Congressional Democrats reduced Republican advantages on important issues, such as immigration, where they were ahead by 13 points to 7, and national security, where they were ahead by 8 points to just 3. The Trump campaign has centred much of its discourse throughout the election on these two topics in addition to the state of the economy. The polling tracker maintained by Newsweek shows that Harris leads Trump by 3 points nationally and by a smaller margin in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. In Arizona, according to three recent polls, Trump is marginally ahead of the field; however, most recent polls have Georgia and North Carolina as dead heats, with many results falling within the margin of error.

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The data used by Morning Consult is based on thousands of daily surveys besides regular monitoring of the most important topics in the election cycle and the amount of media attention they receive. The news comes after some impressive results for Harris, which have put Trump at a disadvantage in a number of polls and prediction models. One of the most popular election forecasts this year, FiveThirtyEight, offered Trump a record-low 39 percent chance of winning the Electoral College in its most recent iteration.

The model gave Trump a 41 percent chance of winning when it was first relaunched after President Joe Biden was replaced, and that number was gradually rising ahead of the ABC debate on September 10. On Monday, Pennsylvania, which is generally regarded as the most important swing state in this election, provided the Harris campaign with encouraging polling as well. The Democrat was ahead by three points, with 48.6 percent of the vote to Trump's 45.6 percent.

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FAQs:

What is the current poll's difference between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris?
According to the most recent Morning Consult poll, among likely voters, Kamala Harris is ahead of Donald Trump by six points, with half of them supporting Harris and the other half supporting Trump.

What impact are independent voters having on the US election?
With 47% of independent voters supporting Trump and 41% favouring Harris, and 6% remaining undecided or leaning toward a third-party candidate, independent voters are vital to this election.