New York election results: Polymarket has already projected the winner - here's who he is

With just four days left before New York City voters head to the polls, Zohran Mamdani appears to be pulling ahead in the race for mayor. A series of new polls show him leading Andrew Cuomo by double digits, while Curtis Sliwa trails in third place.

How Do the Latest Polls Look for the NYC Mayoral Race?

With Election Day now just four days away, the race between Zohran Mamdani, Andrew Cuomo, and Curtis Sliwa is entering its final stretch and Mamdani appears to have a commanding lead. Two recent polls released this week show Mamdani leading Cuomo by 16 and 25 percentage points, respectively.

According to the Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill survey conducted between October 25–27, Mamdani holds 50% support, compared to 25% for Cuomo and 21% for Sliwa, while 4% remain undecided. The Marist Poll, conducted from October 24–28, shows a similar trend with Mamdani at 48%, Cuomo at 32%, and Sliwa at 16%, leaving 3% undecided, as per a report by Fox5NY.


The Quinnipiac University poll released on October 29 also shows Mamdani ahead with 46%, Cuomo at 33%, and Sliwa at 15%, while 3% were undecided and 2% declined to respond.

Meanwhile, Polymarket, a prediction market platform, projects that “Zohran Mamdani wins the New York City Mayoral Election,” giving him a 95% chance of victory, as per a report by Fox5NY.

What are the candidates saying about the polls?

Despite the strong polling numbers, Mamdani remains cautious about early predictions.

“Polls give us a snapshot in time,” Mamdani said. “It's great when there's a good one. It's, you know, we look past it when there's a bad one. But really, all they are is a prediction. It's up to us to actually win this race.”

Cuomo, however, dismissed the findings, saying, “I think the polls have no idea what they're talking about because they have never seen this kind of turnout before," as per a report by Fox5NY.

Sliwa shared similar skepticism, stating, “I don't believe any of the polls. I believe the people because I'm in the streets, I'm in the subways.”

What do the other polls indicate?

The Manhattan Institute survey, conducted between October 22–26, found Mamdani leading Cuomo by 15 points, with Sliwa in third at 19% and 8% undecided. The Suffolk University poll showed Mamdani’s advantage narrowing slightly to 10 points, with him at 44% and Cuomo at 34%.

A Victory Insights poll recorded an 18-point lead for Mamdani, while Patriot Polling placed the gap at 11 points. The Gotham Polling and City AARP report suggested that if Sliwa exited the race, 44.6% of New Yorkers would vote for Mamdani compared to 40.7% for Cuomo, within the 4-point margin of error, as per a report by Fox5NY.

Finally, a Fox News poll found Mamdani with a 24-point lead among registered voters, securing 52% support from likely voters, while Cuomo and Sliwa trailed at 28% and 13%, respectively.

How many have voted so far?

Early voting is already underway, with turnout data from the NYC Board of Elections after day six showing:

• Manhattan: 118,920 voters
• Bronx: 32,655 voters
• Brooklyn: 126,055 voters
• Queens: 91,371 voters
• Staten Island: 29,476 voters

Early voting continues through Sunday, November 2, before Election Day on Tuesday, November 4. Polls will be open from 6 a.m. to 9 p.m, as per a report by Fox5NY.

As New Yorkers prepare to cast their ballots, Mamdani’s campaign is riding a wave of momentum, but both Cuomo and Sliwa insist that the final outcome will come down to turnout on Election Day.

FAQs

Who is leading the New York City mayoral race?

Zohran Mamdani leads Andrew Cuomo in multiple polls, with margins ranging from 10 to 25 percentage points.

When is Election Day in New York City?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 4, with polls open from 6 a.m. to 9 p.m.