It's tight: This poll says Kamala Harris has not got any bounce from the Democratic National Convention

According to a recent ABC News/Ipsos survey, Kamala Harris did not see an increase in popularity after her nomination speech. She did, however, extend the gender disparity to her advantage. As the race moves into its final two months, it is becoming increasingly divisive; neither Harris nor Donald Trump experienced any discernible improvement from their respective conventions, as per the reports of Yahoo news.

Campaign Performance and Debate Expectations

At the polls, 56% of Americans thought well of Harris's campaign performance, compared to 41% who thought the same of Trump, giving her a competitive advantage. Two-fourths of Republicans and 56% of independents thought favorably of Harris, compared to 93% of Democrats. Nevertheless, Trump's favorable ratings were worse in every category. With significant backing from Democrats and independents, 43% of respondents predict Harris to prevail in the forthcoming presidential debate.

Voter sentiment and running mates

Seventy-five percent of Harris' supporters said a Trump victory would be a crisis, which could drive voter turnout. Comparatively, 67% of Trump supporters viewed a Harris win as a crisis. Regarding running mates, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz was seen more favorably and deemed more qualified than Ohio Sen. JD Vance. Walz had a 42%-31% favorability rating, while Vance was viewed negatively by 32%-44%.


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Trump led on issues like the economy, inflation, and immigration, but Harris was favored on handling abortion and race relations. Trump had an 8-point lead on the economy and inflation, and a 9-point lead on immigration. Harris' strengths included physical health, honesty, and mental acuity. The poll showed that Harris led by 13 points among women, while Trump led by 5 points among men, widening the gender gap significantly.

Voter intensity

Voter preferences seemed locked in, with 86% of Harris' non-supporters and 89% of Trump's non-supporters ruling out changing their minds. Among likely voters, these numbers were even higher. Harris' support saw a slight increase in strong backing, now at 64%, compared to 60% pre-convention. Trump's strong support remained at 60%.

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While dissatisfaction with the candidate choice decreased since July, it remained significant. Fifty-three percent of the public was more dissatisfied than satisfied with the Harris-Trump contest. Dissatisfaction was also reflected in trust on issues and attributes, with 15%-26% not trusting either candidate on various issues.

Methodology

The poll was conducted online by Ipsos from Aug. 23-27, 2024, among a national sample of 2,496 adults. The margin of sampling error was 2 percentage points. The survey was produced by Langer Research Associates for ABC News, with data collection by Ipsos.

FAQs

How do Americans view Harris’s and Trump’s campaign performances?
The survey showed 56% of Americans viewed Harris’s campaign positively, while only 41% felt the same about Trump’s campaign, giving Harris a competitive edge.

What impact do Harris and Trump’s supporters see in a potential win by the other candidate?
Seventy-five percent of Harris's supporters think a Trump win would be a crisis, while 67% of Trump’s supporters feel the same about a Harris victory.