UK weather forecast will affect energy bills. Here's how

Everyone is waiting for the UK's winter weather forecast. The temperatures will then dictate the management of the energy bills of households.

Agencies
While forecasting the weather for an extended period can be difficult, forecasters are now planning to come up with an extensive forecast of the weather in the following months. This will be useful to those trying to reduce their energy bills, as the impact of a mild or cold winter will affect their energy use.

How does winter impact energy?

According to Christopher O’Reilly, a member of the University of Reading in the department of Meteorology, winter in the UK directly affects gas and electricity demand.

Daily average gas demand can be around 100 GWh over a season with a deviation of 1C. As per gas prices in the UK during October, this will equal about £1bn per 1C UK temperature deviation.


Forecast from the Met Office

Given the stakes, the forecast will be desirable among households. Professor Paul Davis, chief meteorologist and Met Office fellow, thinks there will be a mild late autumn followed by an early winter.

Omicron BA.4.6: Things to know about another new COVID variant
1/10

BA.4.6, a subvariant of the omicron COVID variant which has been quickly gaining traction in the US, is now confirmed to be spreading in the UK.

BA.4.6, a subvariant of the omicron COVID variant which has been quickly gaining traction in the US, is now confirmed to be spreading in the UK.

BA.4.6 is a descendant of the BA.4 variant of omicron. BA.4 was first detected in Jan 2022 in South Africa and has since spread around the world alongside the BA.5 variant.

BA.4.6 is a descendant of the BA.4 variant of omicron. BA.4 was first detected in Jan 2022 in South Africa and has since spread around the world alongside the BA.5 variant.

It is not clear how BA.4.6 has emerged, but it's possible it could be a recombinant variant. Recombination happens when two different variants of SARS-CoV-2 infect the same person, at the same time.

It is not clear how BA.4.6 has emerged, but it's possible it could be a recombinant variant. Recombination happens when two different variants of SARS-CoV-2 infect the same person, at the same time.

BA.4.6 will be similar to BA.4 in many ways, it carries a mutation to the spike protein, a protein on the surface of the virus which allows it to enter our cells.

BA.4.6 will be similar to BA.4 in many ways, it carries a mutation to the spike protein, a protein on the surface of the virus which allows it to enter our cells.

This mutation, R346T, has been seen in other variants and is associated with immune evasion, meaning it helps the virus to escape antibodies acquired from vaccination and prior infection.

This mutation, R346T, has been seen in other variants and is associated with immune evasion, meaning it helps the virus to escape antibodies acquired from vaccination and prior infection.

Omicron infections generally cause less serious illness, and we've seen fewer deaths with omicron. We would expect this to apply to BA.4.6 too.

Omicron infections generally cause less serious illness, and we've seen fewer deaths with omicron. We would expect this to apply to BA.4.6 too.

We also know that omicron subvariants tend to be more transmissible than previous variants.

We also know that omicron subvariants tend to be more transmissible than previous variants.

BA.4.6 replicates more quickly in the early stages of infection and has a higher growth rate than BA.5.

BA.4.6 replicates more quickly in the early stages of infection and has a higher growth rate than BA.5.

Vaccination continues to offer good protection against severe disease, and is still the best weapon we have to fight COVID. So, stay cautious and comply with health measures.

Vaccination continues to offer good protection against severe disease, and is still the best weapon we have to fight COVID. So, stay cautious and comply with health measures.


Though the impact isn’t sure to hold when winter sets in as December starts, during which there could be snow and ice warnings in the northern region.
ADVERTISEMENT

What does Paul Devis say?

He thinks the chances of a freezing winter are low this time. He appreciates the science here, calling it the cutting edge of meteorology. However, he admits that even the perfect prediction systems cannot stop the natural chaotic characteristics of the atmosphere.

FAQs:

  1. Who will publish the forecast?
    The Met Office will publish it.
  2. What factors can influence the weather?
    The main influences are the North Atlantic Oscillation and La Niña for European winter weather.
Download
The Economic Times Business News App
for the Latest News in Business, Sensex, Stock Market Updates & More.
Download
The Economic Times News App
for Quarterly Results, Latest News in ITR, Business, Share Market, Live Sensex News & More.
READ MORE
ADVERTISEMENT

READ MORE:

LOGIN & CLAIM

50 TIMESPOINTS

More from our Partners

Loading next story
Business News › News › International › UK News › UK weather forecast will affect energy bills. Here's how
Text Size:AAA
Success
This article has been saved

*

+