Eurozone business activity at 3-year low
A service sector slump in January plunged business activity in the nations sharing the euro to the lowest level in over three years.
The result fell short an initial estimate of 52.7 points but was still above the 50-point level that indicates expansion. However, the index of service sector activity fell even more sharply.
The service sector index fell to a four-and-a-half-year low of 50.6 points in January, down from a first estimate of 52.0 points and a reading of 53.1 points in December. “The substantial downward revision in the January eurozone service sector business activity index is an absolute shocker,” economist Howard Archer said at consultants Global Insight.
He said it “highlights the increasing pressure that the eurozone economy is coming under from the credit crunch and financial market turbulence, the strong euro, elevated oil and commodity prices, higher interest rates and softer growth in key export markets.”
Economist Ben May at consultants Capital Economics said the overall data pointed to growth of only 0.2% in the first quarter, low enough to force the European Central Bank to contemplate easing interest rates.
“In all then, the further weakening in eurozone activity supports our view that the ECB will begin to loosen interest rates as early as June,” he said.
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