European banks may need $141 billion capital infusion
European banks may need to raise as much as e90 billion to restore their capital after the US subprime mortgage collapse caused credit markets to seize up, according to Goldman Sachs Group.
They may now seek more than e60 billion to increase their Tier 1 capital, a measure of financial strength, to about 9%, the analysts said. They could need to raise as much as e90 billion were credit losses to rise to levels last seen in the recession of the early 1990s. ���Regulatory pressures and a sharp turn in the European credit cycle are the two main causes for concern,��� the London-based Goldman analysts wrote in their note.
The European banks Goldman tracks have lost $900 billion of their market value since the credit crisis began last year. Anshu Jain, head of global markets at Deutsche Bank, said this week that that contagion is ���by no means over,��� and Europe���s banks have lagged behind the US in raising money from investors.
The Goldman analysts cut their recommendations on Carnegie and Swedbank of Sweden to ���sell��� from ���neutral.��� Banco Santander, Spain���s largest bank, was downgraded to ���neutral��� from ���buy.��� Goldman���s analysts said in their report that ���access to liquidity, capital adequacy and post-crisis profitability are the key areas of near to medium-term uncertainty��� for European banks.
Global financial stocks have led declines that wiped about $11 trillion from equity markets worldwide this year. Credit-related losses, surging oil prices and rising inflation have also stoked concern policy makers will have to raise borrowing costs as the global economy slows.
Separately, Credit Suisse Group had its price estimate cut by Citigroup earlier on Friday, which also reduced its expectations for earnings-per-share at Switzerland���s second- largest bank.
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