Australian stocks close lower after core inflation beats expectations, rate-hike bets rise; S&P/ASX 200 drops, check top gainers and losers

Australian shares saw early gains erased, closing slightly lower. Hotter inflation data has boosted expectations for an interest rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia next week. Miners and energy stocks provided some support, while financials...

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Australian stocks close lower after core inflation beats expectations, rate-hike bets rise.

Australian shares gave up early gains on Wednesday to close marginally lower. The benchmark ‌S&P/ASX 200 ‌index finished 0.1% lower at 8,933.90 points after rising as much as 0.4% earlier in the session. The movements in the sharemarket were triggered by hotter-than-expected underlying inflation data that raised expectations for an interest rate hike as early as next week.

The S&P/ASX 200 closed down just 7.70 points Wednesday to 8,933.90. According to the ASX website, the bottom-performing stocks in this index were LIFE360 INC. and CATAPULT SPORTS LTD, down 7.61% and 6.84%, respectively.

Data ‌showed that the trimmed mean consumer price index, a policy-relevant measure of core inflation, rose 0.9% in the fourth quarter from the quarter before, topping economists' forecasts of a 0.8% increase.


This signalled underlying price pressures remain entrenched, adding to the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) case for maintaining a restrictive policy stance. The central bank, which last eased its policy in August 2025, is now confronting ‍the possibility of a rate hike at its February 2–3 ‍meeting as inflation pressures persist.

Swaps now imply over a 70% chance of a hike in the key cash rate next week, from around 60% before the data, according to news agency Reuters. Financials fell 0.3% on Wednesday, with ‍Westpac and ANZ slipping 0.2% and 0.5%, respectively.

Financial stocks could see an early boost from net interest margin expectations if the ‍hike is ⁠viewed as measured, though gains ⁠may be limited as attention turns to credit demand, funding costs and growth risks, said Chen.
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Capping losses in the benchmark stock index, miners climbed as much as 1.5% to hit a record high, propelled by strong copper prices. Rio Tinto and BHP advanced 2.4% and 1.7%, respectively. Energy stocks rose 2.3%, with Santos gaining 3%, while Woodside jumped 2.7% after reporting better-than-expected fourth-quarter revenue.

ASX 200: Check top gainers and losers


The S&P/ASX 200 recorded notable movements across individual stocks, with Deep Yellow Limited (DYL) leading the gains. The uranium producer closed at $2.590, up 25 cents, marking a 10.683 per cent increase. Silex Systems Limited (SLX) also advanced strongly, rising 53 cents, or 7.412 per cent, to finish at $7.680. Paladin Energy Ltd (PDN) gained 71 cents, or 5.366 per cent, to close at $13.940, while NexGen Energy (Canada) Ltd (NXG) added 82 cents, up 4.632 per cent, ending the session at $18.520. Capstone Copper Corp. (CSC) rounded out the top five gainers, climbing 71 cents, or 4.418 per cent, to $16.780.

On the downside, Life360 Inc. (360) led the declines, falling $2.350, or 7.613 per cent, to $28.520. Catapult Sports Ltd (CAT) dropped 27 cents, down 6.836 per cent, closing at $3.680. Temple & Webster Group Ltd (TPW) declined 91 cents, or 6.623 per cent, to $12.830, while DroneShield Limited (DRO) slid 23 cents, down 5.503 per cent, finishing at $3.950. AUB Group Limited (AUB) completed the list of top decliners, shedding $1.510, or 4.733 per cent, to close at $30.400.

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Sectors ended mix

According to ASX website, sectors ended mixed. 9 of 11 sectors were lower along with the S&P/ASX 200 Index. Energy was the best-performing sector, gaining +2.33% and +6.13% for the past five days.
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