RBI MPC: New GDP, inflation series in 2 days, announces Governor Sanjay Malhotra

RBI MPC Meeting: RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra said future monetary policy decisions will be guided by inflation data from a revised statistical series while announcing the policy rate decision on Friday. He said, “In two days, we will have a new s...

Reuters
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Sanjay Malhotra
Reserve Bank of India's Monetary policy will be guided by new inflation data based on the revised series, said Governor Sanjay Malhotra while announcing the the committe's decision on policy rates on Friday.

"In two days, we will have a new series for both GDP and inflation," announced Malhotra.

While announcing the projections, Governor Sanjay Malhotra said real GDP growth estimates for Q1 and Q2 of 2026–27 have been revised upward to 6.9% and 7.0%, respectively, with risks seen as evenly balanced. He added that the full-year projections will be deferred to the April policy as a new GDP series will be released later this month.


On the policy front, the central bank kept its ‍key repo rate unchanged, amid strong economic growth and reduced ⁠tariff pressures following a trade deal with the United States.

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RBI inflation 2026–27: MPC raises forecast for Q1 and Q2 to 4% and 4.2%

A breakthrough agreement between Washington and New Delhi, announced earlier this week, includes a reduction in U.S. tariffs on Indian ‌imports from ‌nearly 50% to 18%, easing a key pressure point for India's economy and markets.

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The RBI's six-member ‌monetary policy committee voted unanimously to keep the repo rate at 5.25%, in line with the consensus view in a Reuters poll.

The monetary policy stance was retained at "neutral", suggesting rates will stay low for some time to come.

ALSO READ: RBI MPC: India's trade deals give Sanjay Malhotra & Co cover to hold repo rates steady at 5.25%

External headwinds have intensified but the successful completion of the trade deal with the U.S. augurs well for the economy, ‌Reserve Bank ‍of India Governor Sanjay Malhotra said in his policy statement. ‍Inflation remains beningn, he said.

The central bank has ‌now cut rates by a total of 125 basis points since February 2025, the most aggressive easing since 2019. It had cut rates by 25 basis points at its last meeting in December.
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India remains one of the world's fastest-growing major economies, bolstered by strong domestic demand, public infrastructure spending and a relatively resilient services sector.

The economy is expected ‍to grow 7.4% in the current financial year and the government's economic adviser has forecast growth at 6.8%-7.2% next year.
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While ‍trade tensions ⁠with the U.S. ⁠have been a drag on the world's fifth-largest economy, the U.S. has agreed to cut tariffs on Indian imports in exchange for India halting Russian oil purchases and lowering trade barriers
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