Call for 'proactive' steps in Budget 2015 as IIP dips, inflation rises

FICCI said: "We are hopeful that the forthcoming budget would factor in the slow growth in manufacturing for the last many months and the need to provide major incentives to revive investments in the sector."

Call for 'proactive' steps in Budget 2015 as IIP dips, inflation rises
NEW DELHI: Reflecting sluggishness in the economy, the industrial production growth has slipped to 1.7 per cent in December month-on-month, while inflation rose to 5.11 per cent in January, raising demands for proactive steps in the forthcoming Budget to boost economic expansion.

The growth in factory output, as measured by the Index of Industrial Production ( IIP), in the month under review was, however, higher as compared to December, 2013 when it expanded by 0.1 per cent.

The November IIP of 3.8 per cent has been revised upwards to 3.9 per cent.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI), computed with a new base year of 2012, rose to 5.11 per cent in January month-on-month mainly due to dearer food and beverages items including fruits and vegetables.

In December, retail inflation was at 4.28 per cent (recalculated with new base year). The same 5 per cent with 2010 as base year.

Commenting on data, industry chamber FICCI said: "We are hopeful that the forthcoming budget would factor in the slow growth in manufacturing for the last many months and the need to provide major incentives to revive investments in the sector."
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It suggested that RBI should lower the interest rate as it is needed to boost consumer and investment sentiments.

Last month, Reserve Bank had lowered the rate of interest by 0.25 per cent to 7.75 per cent after a gap of 20 months.

After releasing the new series of CPI with 2012 as base year and rejigging weight of different items and groups, Chief Statistician T C A Anant said: "Inflation in 2014-15 will be lower than the 2013-14 level."

He further said that besides changes in weight of items and groups "we have shifted to geometric mean for computing inflation from arithmetic mean used in previous series".
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What FM could be thinking ahead of budget?
1/11
Text: ET bureau

Weeks ahead of the NDA government’s agenda-setting budget, a poor set of company results have put the focus on the economy, although the latest growth number is impressive.

Finance minister Arun Jaitley will be looking to deliver a budget that can get the economy moving even faster through a more direct intervention to spur public investments.

ET looks at what could be on the FM’s mind ahead of the February 28 budget presentation.
Text: ET bureau

Weeks ahead of the NDA government’s agenda-setting budget, a poor set of company results have put the focus on the economy, although the latest growth number is impress..
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There is much to be said on both sides.

Higher public spending is needed to spur investments in the absence of private spending.

But staying with the fiscal road map can yield more interest rate cuts and credit rating upgrades.
There is much to be said on both sides.

Higher public spending is needed to spur investments in the absence of private spending.

But staying with the fiscal road map can yield more inte..
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This can be a big sentiment changer. But it has its complexities.

No matter how unreasonable, it will be seen to be benefitting Vodafone.

It will have to be a political call.
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No matter how unreasonable, it will be seen to be benefitting Vodafone.

It will have to be a political call.
This could become the biggest subsidy in no time.

It could undermine all of the govt’s efforts in rationalising food subsidies.
This could become the biggest subsidy in no time.

It could undermine all of the govt’s efforts in rationalising food subsidies.
The general-anti avoidance rules (GAAR) have been a big worry for the markets. Rules are scheduled to come into force from FY16.

Will the FM push it back further or take a call on the entire direct taxes code?
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Will the FM push it back further or take a call on the entire d..
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Revenue numbers have been below estimates in recent years.This is because of overestimation of revenue in the hopes of strong recovery

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Rs 50,000 increase in section 80C limit by FM in NDA’s first budget. RBI governor feels there is case for more incentives for savings.

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Exemption limit for households was raised in the last budget. A further increase in exemption limit will put more money in the hands of consumers.

A reduction in corporate taxes will further perk up sentiment. Minimum alternate tax (MAT) can be lowered for select sectors.

Rationalisation in indirect taxes not possible because of impending GST.
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Home loan exemption limit was raised to Rs 2 lakh from Rs 1.5 lakh in last budget

More incentives could be offered, given the govt’s focus on housing.
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More incentives could be offered, given the govt’s focus on housing.
This can create space for higher public spending. Disinvestment To Find Resources This can create space for higher public spending.

Record disinvestment target in FY15: Rs 58,425 crore.
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Record disinvestment target in FY15: Rs 58,425 crore.
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