Oil prices ease as dollar gains ground
Oil prices fell sharply on Thursday as the dollar moved higher and forced crude to lose some of its appeal as a hedge against inflation. Light, sweet crude for July delivery fell $4.38 to $132 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
NEW YORK: Oil prices fell sharply on Thursday as the dollar moved higher and forced crude to lose some of its appeal as a hedge against inflation. Light, sweet crude for July delivery fell $4.38 to $132 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Given the volatile price moves of recent days, oil's decline was not seen as a sign of a changing trend. Prices have gone through several sharp swings over the past week, rising more than $16 last Thursday and Friday as the dollar weakened, falling more than $7 earlier this week as the greenback gained, and jumping back more than $5 on Wednesday as supplies and the dollar fell.
Analysts say oil is range trading, waiting for direction from a significant move in the dollar or change in supply and demand fundamentals.
Many analysts believe the market's overall sentiment remains bullish, and the new records are a real possibility in coming days. Oil reached its latest trading record of $139.12 on Friday.
"The price movement of crude has been ... dictated by what we've seen in the greenback," said Edward Meir, an analyst at an analyst at MF Global UK Ltd., in a research note.
Investors who bought commodities such as oil to protect against inflation when the dollar was falling tend to sell when the greenback gains ground. Also, a stronger dollar makes oil more expensive to investors overseas.
The dollar's protracted decline has been a major factor behind the doubling of oil prices over the past year. Recent statements by US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and US President George W Bush emphasizing the importance of strengthening the dollar helped the US currency gain ground.
But analysts believe more than words are needed to turn the tide; an actual interest rate increase is needed to send the dollar definitively higher, and oil prices down, said Stephen Schork, an analyst and trader in Villanova, Pennsylvania.
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