India may face more than 'minimal' impact of slowdown: S&P
India along with Thailand & Vietnam could be more impacted by slump, said S&P report. Gainers: BSE ( A, B ), NSE | Losers: BSE ( A, B ), NSE I 52 Week: High, Low
Citing possibilities of the impact of the global slowdown on the financial health of the Asian economies, the agency in a report today has said that these economies could recover sometime in 2010 after steep declines in many of them.
"In this scenario, the negative impact on sovereign credit ratings would be minimal, with the possible exceptions of those currently with a negative outlook---Thailand, Vietnam and India," said Standard & Poor's analyst Kim Eng Tan in a report.
Meanwhile, another scenario, however, speaks of an extended recession, in which most of Asia, possibly including India, and would drag the countries through four consecutive years of contraction.
Though this scenario, it said, could be remote and would not take place unless a country makes major policy mistakes.
Without any major slippages in the policy decisions the country would remain in the same category even after an extended recession. Though their credit ratings could slip by one or two notches.
"Unless an investment-grade sovereign makes major policy mistakes, most would remain in that category after an extended-recession scenario," the rating agency said.
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