Who will be hit hardest by Trump's 50% tariff on India? A sector-wise breakdown
President Trump's doubled tariffs on Indian goods, now at 50%, are poised to severely impact key sectors. Auto parts, jewellery, textiles, and seafood industries face significant export losses, prompting businesses to explore alternatives in Dubai...
Still, the latest move could hit labour-intensive Indian industries hard and has prompted businesses to scout for alternatives abroad.
Auto parts industry: Half of $7-Billion exports at risk
India exports $7 billion (Rs 61,000 crore) worth of auto parts to the US every year. With tariffs doubling to 50%, the industry fears a severe blow. Read full report- Earlier: 25% duty on cars, small trucks, and parts
- Now: 50% duty on same items
- Components for CVs, tractors, earthmovers also hit
Jewellery exporters eye Dubai, Mexico to escape the ‘doomsday’
With the US being India’s largest jewellery export market (worth $10 billion), the 50% duty is seen as catastrophic. Read full report.- UAE faces just 10% duty
- Mexico pays 25%
- India may pay 50%
Textile industry wants raw cotton duty removed for trade bargain
The Indian textile industry has proposed removal of the 11% duty on raw cotton imports as a bargaining chip in trade talks. Read full report.India may offer lower tariffs on US farm goods:
Walnuts, almonds, apples, cranberries.
In return, it could push for better access for garments and yarns
Seafood sector may lose Rs 24,000 crore opportunity
India exports Rs 60,000 crore worth of seafood, mostly shrimps, to the US annually. The 50% duty threatens to shrink nearly Rs 24,000 crore in business. Read full report.Competitors pay lower US tariffs:
- Ecuador: 10%
- Indonesia: 19%
- Vietnam: 20%
Pharma may escape the tariff hammer, for now
So far, pharmaceutical exports remain spared, likely due to a US national security review under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act, 1962. Read full report.India’s drug makers fear future retaliation, especially if tariffs become a bargaining tool tied to Russian oil imports.
The US is still investigating pharma imports, leaving the door open for future action.
Broader economic fallout: Jobs, capex, and rupee at risk
Economists warn that Trump’s tariff strike could disrupt India’s growth story- Read full report.- Labour-intensive sectors like textiles, gems, and seafood will feel the heat
- Private investments (capex) may slow due to reduced export visibility
- The rupee could weaken if exports shrink significantly
“The second-round impact on capex, domestic manufacturing and labour markets could emerge as a key risk,” said Sakshi Gupta, Principal Economist, HDFC Bank.
With bilateral talks expected soon, much hinges on whether diplomacy can reverse this tariff tide—or whether Indian exporters will be forced to shift supply chains out of India.
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