Budget 2015: Credit Suisse sees FM Jaitley boosting capex, raising I-T slab

Credit Suisse is expecting a growth-boosting budget on Saturday with increase in public spending and in the personal income tax exemption limits.

Budget 2015: Credit Suisse sees FM Jaitley boosting capex, raising I-T slab
MUMBAI: Swiss brokerage firm Credit Suisse is expecting a growth-boosting budget on Saturday with increase in public spending and in the personal income tax exemption limits.

"Given the fiscal room to spend, in addition to capex, tax exemption limit for individuals could be raised. At the same time, as part of streamlining the GST base, the service tax net could be broadened further by removing some services from exempt/abatement list," it said in a note today.

It also pointed out that as many as 61 per cent of the services GDP is outside the tax net.

Overall, the brokerage said that it expects a growth-boosting stimulus which includes a rise in non-defence capex like roads, railways, and rural and urban housing, and sees a higher fiscal deficit "by giving a push-out to the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Act, which if done for the right reasons, will not hurt yields much."

However, it said the government should keep its revenue growth assumptions credible, and expressed hope that the minister may announce some innovative ways of funding infra projects.

"Given the difficulty of spending to boost growth, it may also tweak taxes to support consumption," the report said. However, the brokerage warned that given the limitations to public spending on infra, it would be interesting to see what the government proposes to attract investment and how it revives the investment cycle.
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Five big Budget ideas that could transform Arun Jaitley’s February 28 speech
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Text: ET Bureau

The LPG subsidy has begun to flow to accounts. Food, kerosene, and fertilisers could follow in the budget.

THE X FACTOR

Hugely successful Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana with more than 12 crore accounts opened.

WHO GAINS?

Poor get benefits, govt subsidies get cut, consumer demand will rise.
Text: ET Bureau

The LPG subsidy has begun to flow to accounts. Food, kerosene, and fertilisers could follow in the budget.

THE X FACTOR

Hugely successful Pradhan Man..
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Coal auctions have started. Bids for road projects are gathering pace and 15km/day should be doable by the end of March. The railway budget should get that sector going. Roads could get much bigger funds.

THE X FACTOR

Successful coal auctions, lower crude prices, cheap global money, faster decision-making.

WHO GAINS?

Investment activity will pick up pace as mining gets under way; capital goods, power & engineering companies biggest gainers.
Coal auctions have started. Bids for road projects are gathering pace and 15km/day should be doable by the end of March. The railway budget should get that sector going. Roads could get much bigger f..
Read More
Policy framework being put in place. Ease of doing business getting continuous attention. Some tax sops could be announced in the budget.

THE X FACTOR

Defence manufacturing kicking off in a big way. Many cos have already announced deals with foreign cos.

WHO GAINS?

More jobs, higher exports, cheaper goods, fewer imports.
Policy framework being put in place. Ease of doing business getting continuous attention. Some tax sops could be announced in the budget.

THE X FACTOR

Defence manufacturing k..
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Work started on Swacch Bharat, Digital India and roads. The budget could announce a very big package for farm sector to make it more effi cient, with a focus on irrigation.

THE X FACTOR

Bigger devolution of funds to states as suggested by the 14th Finance Commission.

WHO GAINS?

Economic activity spreads to rural India, more income to farmers through productivity.

Work started on Swacch Bharat, Digital India and roads. The budget could announce a very big package for farm sector to make it more effi cient, with a focus on irrigation.

THE X FACTOR ..
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Very cheap, even zero interest loans, to farmers, students for skilling and small vendors to reach formal credit going, subsidised by the budget.

THE X FACTOR

Jan Dhan Yojana architecture can be the backbone for a fi nancial inclusion miracle.

WHO GAINS?

Rural stress goes down. Financial implication is minimal.
Very cheap, even zero interest loans, to farmers, students for skilling and small vendors to reach formal credit going, subsidised by the budget.

THE X FACTOR

Jan Dhan Yojana..
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Other significant ideas that Budget may include
Other significant ideas that Budget may include
1) Super rich surcharge could continue

2) A cess on petrol and diesel may be on the way

3) Import duty could be levied on crude

4) Income tax payees could be asked to give up cooking gas subsidy

5) Some tax settlement to end past cases and raise funds
1) Super rich surcharge could continue

2) A cess on petrol and diesel may be on the way

3) Import duty could be levied on crude

4) Income tax payees could be asked to give up ..
Read More
READ MORE
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