India's wheat output likely at 110-120 mn ton in 2025-26 amid weather damage, says Food Secy

India's wheat output for the 2025-26 crop year is expected to drop to between 110 mt and 120 mt due to unseasonal rains and hail storms in the key producing regions, food secretary Sanjeev Chopra said on Friday.


The Roller Flour Millers' Federation of India has estimated production at 110.65 million tonnes, marginally higher than last year's 109.63 million tonnes, factoring in weather-related losses.


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Earlier, the agriculture ministry had projected output at 120.21 mt, up from 117.94 mt before the conditions turned adverse.
"The figure given by the agriculture ministry was 120 mt, but that was prior to the rainfall... The reality will be somewhere between 110 million tonnes and 120 mt," Chopra said, addressing an event organised by the federation.

Chopra said the final figure is likely to fall between these estimates. He said government wheat procurement has reached 16.4 mt, with target raised to 34.5 mt from 30 mt.


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Procurement goals have been increased across Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Bihar and Uttarakhand, with norms eased in all except Uttarakhand to facilitate buying. The Centre has also cleared phased exports of 5 mt of wheat and 1 mt of wheat products, though shipments have remained subdued due to pricing constraints.