Gold jumps 2% as Fed Governor Waller's comments temper rate hike bets

Gold prices jumped more than 2% as traders cut bets on a September US Fed rate hike after Governor Christopher Waller signalled support for keeping rates unchanged if inflation continues to cool. Lower Treasury yields and a weaker dollar further b...

Gold jumps 2% as Fed Governor Waller's comments temper rate hike bets
Gold rose more than 2% on Thursday as traders scaled back ​September rate hike expectations after ​Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he would support ​leaving interest rates unchanged if data continues to show inflation pressures moderating.

Spot gold rose 2.3% to $4,488.54 per ounce by 02:04 p.m. ET(1804 GMT), after touching its highest since August 28 earlier ‌in the ⁠session.

U.S. gold ⁠futures settled 2.8% higher at $4539.9.


Christopher Waller said on Thursday that if upcoming data confirms inflation ​pressures are cooling, he would be inclined to argue in favor of keeping interest rates ​steady at the U.S. central bank's next policy meeting.

Traders now see about a 54% chance of a rate hike when policymakers meet on September 15 to ​16, down from about 62% before Waller's comments. [FEDWATCH]

"I think ⁠traders at ‌the moment are looking at the Fed being less ​aggressive with rates," ​said Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at StoneX.
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"More and ⁠more traders are coming around to the idea that (the Fed) ​could do one rate hike, but there probably isn't ​much more they can do with rates after that."

Lower Treasury yields added support to bullion by reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. The U.S. dollar also fell, making greenback-priced bullion more affordable for overseas buyers.

On Wednesday, golf slipped to its lowest level since August 7 before settling more than ‌1% higher as the U.S. dollar index retreated from a nearly three-week peak, while Treasury yields eased from multi-year highs. [USD/] [US/]

Although gold ​is typically seen ​as an inflation ⁠hedge, higher interest rates tend to diminish the non-yielding metal's appeal.
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Investors now await the closely watched U.S. non-farm payrolls report due on Friday, followed by the August ​CPI and PPI inflation reports next week.

Meanwhile, oil prices headed for a fourth day of gains as U.S. strikes on Iran and renewed Israeli threats against Tehran revived concerns about disruptions to Middle East supplies. [O/R]
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Spot silver gained 2.8% to $67.13, platinum rose 4.2% to $1,830.28, and palladium climbed 5.9% to $1,426.75.
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