Siemens India's chequered performance track record

Siemens India derives 80% of its revenues from projects and a smaller proportion from products.

RESEARCH: JP MORGAN

RATING: NA

CMP: RS 469

Siemens India derives 80% of its revenues from projects and a smaller proportion from products. Around 15% of the company���s revenues are generated from power generation, 25% from power T&D , 10.5% from industrial solutions and products, 12.5% from IT, 4% from transportation, and the rest from diverse segments including medical systems.

Its order book of Rs 9,500 crore provides 1.2 years��� visibility, but the book has remained stagnant over the past five quarters, mainly due to the execution of the large Qatar T&D project, which once constituted 40% of the company���s order book.

Siemens��� recent performance track record has been chequered, mainly due to fixed price contracts and cost overruns on the Torrent and MUTP projects. The basic concerns remain the company���s sustainability of revenue growth, penchant to disappoint on margins of large projects, and predominance of IT and large overseas project exposing the company to a slowdown in spending.
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A key upside risk is that JP Morgan���s target price is significantly below consensus and below the management���s guidance to double revenue in three years.
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