PINC recommends 'hold' on HCC
PINC Research has recommended a ‘hold’ on Hindustan Construction Company Ltd (HCC) with a price target of Rs 52.
The brokerage has assigned a lower PE of 5x (vs 6x earlier) to FY10E standalone earnings citing high leverage (FY09E D:E 2.3x) and rising capital charges.
In a note to clients it said that HCC has posted a modest 9% growth in sales to Rs 8.2bn in Q3FY09. Lower construction expenses (-21% YoY at Rs2.5bn) offset the rise in construction material cost (+43%YoY to Rs3.3bn). Operating margins (OPM) remained stable at 12.9%. However higher interest costs at Rs573mn (+40% YoY) led to PBT of Rs211mn (-36%YoY). Tax writebacks of Rs89.6mn helped HCC post a modest fall of 7% in net profit to Rs232mn despite an exchange loss of Rs68.1mn on restatement of foreign currency liabilities. HCC received two irrigation orders aggregating Rs16.9bn in AP. It also bagged a civil works order worth Rs3.6bn from Lanco Infra Tech for Teesta Hydro Power Project, Sikkim in Q3FY09.
"Lower topline growth in Q3FY09 and rising capital charges remain a concern. We expect HCC to post an EPS of Rs 2.7 in FY09 and Rs3.3 in FY10. Also, we revise Lavasa NAV downwards to Rs46/sh (vs Rs58/sh earlier) citing a longer timeframe for execution," PINC adds.
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