Morgan Stanley puts underweight rating to Hero Honda Motors
RATING:UNDERWEIGHT
CMP: RS 847
Hero Honda posted a decent set of 3Q09 numbers with net income 7% higher than the expected and in line with Street expectations. Despite a volume decline of 5%, an 11% y-o-y improvement in realisations helped the company to report revenue of Rs 2,880 crore (up 5% y-o-y ). Margin came in at 14.5%, 50 bps above last year, primarily due to softening raw material commodity prices.
This was on the back of an 11% y-o-y realisation improvement , improving product mix, and ramp up of capacity at the excise duty-exempt Haridwar facility. Net income of Rs 300 crore, improved 9% y-o-y , and came in 7% above estimate on the back of an improvement at the operating level and a lower tax rate as the company increased production in tax-free zones such as Haridwar.
Hero Honda is on course to achieve 2009 growth estimate of 9% given its year to-date volume growth of 10.4%, and an improvement in market share of 5.5% to 58.5% in the fiscal year to date in the domestic motorcycle category.
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