Buy Voltas, target Rs 420 : UBS
UBS maintains buy on Voltas Ltd but cuts the target from Rs 450 to Rs 420.
The Voltas stock has been down 11% since demonetisation on investor concerns of sharp cut in discretionary spend. Earnings impact in Q3, H2 for FY17E and FY18E would be -12/-12% and -6/-14%, respectively. Assuming long-term growth opportunity remains intact, this indicates attractive risk-reward.
Demand down significantly in Nov, Dec; but impact on overall FY17E minimal, as Q3 is seasonally weak. Believe impact will be relatively lower for Voltas, as ~70-80% of sales comes from top 10-20 cities. Will benefit from demand recovery given market-leading position, strong distribution reach..
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