Nifty on Wednesday closed above its 5-Day EMA of 8,254, bridging the bearish gap in the 8,159-8,178 zone, which analysts said was a positive sign.
NEW DELHI: Domestic equity indices rallied for a third day on-a-trot, encouraged by reports of stimulus packages by large economies in order to soften the economic blow from the lockdown of businesses and offices.
The bulls took heart from reports of India working on a $20 billion package while the US Senate passed a bill that will help American businesses and households.
The 30-share pack Sensex advanced 1,564 points to 30,099 while broader NSE Nifty jumped 397 points to 8,715.
Investors got richer by Rs 4.58 lakh crore as total market capitalisation of the BSE-listed firms jumped to Rs 1,13,04,448.08 crore.
Here are the key factors driving the market today:
US Senate's $2-trillion stimulus Market sentiments improved after the US Senate unanimously passed a massive stimulus package meant to cushion the economic blow of the coronavirus pandemic for American workers and businesses.
ADVERTISEMENT
The $2 trillion package includes billions of dollars in credit for struggling industries, a significant boost to unemployment insurance and direct cash payments to Americans.
However, the bill still needs to be passed by the Democrats-led House, which lawmakers said will not be put to vote until Friday.
$20b package for India Reports of India working on a similar package further boosted the morale on the Street. Reuters reported India is likely to agree to an economic stimulus package of more than Rs 1.5 trillion ($19.6 billion) to fight a downturn in the country that is currently locked down to stem the spread of coronavirus.
The package, which could be announced by the end of the week, will be used to put money directly into the accounts of more than 100 million poor and to support businesses hit the hardest by the lockdown, the sources said.
ADVERTISEMENT
Brokerages expect large rate cut, monetary and fiscal package soon
1/7
Brokerages expect a significant impact on India’s GDP growth of the 21-day countrywide lockdown announced by Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Some analysts are even factoring in an extension of this lockdown, and expect RBI to announce a large rate cut in its April monetary policy meeting. They feel the central bank could even potentially move beyond traditional rate cuts to support the economy. A monetary and fiscal package could also be in the offing to limit the impact of the lockdown, said brokerages.
Here are the highlights of what brokerages are expecting:
Brokerages expect a significant impact on India’s GDP growth of the 21-day countrywide lockdown announced by Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Some analysts are even factoring in an extension of this loc..
Read More
-Expect FM to come out with monetary and fiscal package to offset lockdown impact
-Estimates 4.7% growth in FY21, assuming a shutdown till Aprilend and see cost of 1 month of lockdown at 50-75 bps of GDP
-Expects RBI to cut policy rates by 100 bps in 2020 to lower high real lending rates
-Expect FM to come out with monetary and fiscal package to offset lockdown impact
-Estimates 4.7% growth in FY21, assuming a shutdown till Aprilend and see cost of 1 month of lockdown at 50-75 bps o..
Read More
-Impact of 21-day lockdown in June quarter GDP will be much sharper than anticipated
-Factoring in 4 full weeks of complete shutdown, followed by another 8 weeks of partial shutdown across India until May-End
-Cuts CY20 GDP forecast to 2.5% from 4.5%, expects RBI to move close to 65 bps in April policy meeting
-Impact of 21-day lockdown in June quarter GDP will be much sharper than anticipated
-Factoring in 4 full weeks of complete shutdown, followed by another 8 weeks of partial shutdown across India unt..
Read More
-Lockdowns/curfews in several states have brought attention to spread of COVID-19 in India
-Tests conducted so far are a fraction of number of tests conducted by China, Korea and Norway
-Resumption of economic activity would require government to have much greater clarity of infected and at-risk persons
-Lockdowns/curfews in several states have brought attention to spread of COVID-19 in India
-Tests conducted so far are a fraction of number of tests conducted by China, Korea and Norway
-Resumption..
Read More
-Real GDP growth will collapse in June quarter
-Don’t rule out negative real GDP growth in September quarter as it will take time to restart economic activities
-RBI may cut rates by 100 bps in coming months, many move beyond traditional rate cuts to support economy
-Real GDP growth will collapse in June quarter
-Don’t rule out negative real GDP growth in September quarter as it will take time to restart economic activities
-RBI may cut rates by 100 bps in com..
Read More
-FY21 GDP growth will likely drop to sub-4% despite a low base, June quarter likely in the negative
-Large near-term economic impact inevitable but raises probability of a V-shaped recovery
-Fiscal support for affected workers/business can driver faster recovery
-FY21 GDP growth will likely drop to sub-4% despite a low base, June quarter likely in the negative
-Large near-term economic impact inevitable but raises probability of a V-shaped recovery
-Fiscal..
Read More
-Given India’s public health infrastructure, flattening the outbreak curve substantially is key, also steepens economist cost curve
-About 60% of GDP outside of agriculture, public administration, health and telecom will be significantly impacted by lockdown
-Much will depend on length of the lockdown
-Given India’s public health infrastructure, flattening the outbreak curve substantially is key, also steepens economist cost curve
-About 60% of GDP outside of agriculture, public administration, h..
Technical charts indicate sharp rally Nifty on Wednesday closed above its 5-Day EMA of 8,254, bridging the bearish gap in the 8,159-8,178 zone, which analysts said was a positive sign.
ADVERTISEMENT
“A phase of relief rally seems to be unfolding and once the index sustains above 8,300 zone expect a larger recovery towards 9,000. Short-covering rallies are usually sharper at least in the first phase of recovery,” said Amit Shah, Technical Research Analyst with Indiabulls Securities.
Milan Vaishnav, Consulting Technical Analyst and founder of Gemstone Equity Research & Advisory Services said in order for Nifty to find a temporary bottom it will have to move past 8,500. Till the time, it stays below that, weakness will be there, he added.
Value buying in banks Banks shares ticked higher as investors rushed to accumulate stocks that had come down sharply. The heavy buying lifted benchmark indices higher.
IndusInd Bank that had fallen more than 80 per cent from its highs, rallied 35 per cent to Rs 406. Its peers Axis Bank jumped 13.50per cent to RS 371 while ICICI Bank advanced 10.78 per cent to Rs 351.
HDFC twins also registered smart gains as they jumped 6-9 per cent. Together they contributed nearly 500 points to Sensex’s rally.