A 1,688-point crash in Sensex wipes off Rs 7.36 lakh cr from market

Nervousness on the new coronavirus variant and expectations of the US increasing the pace of tapering has led to recent market weakness, said analysts. India VIX, a measure that shows fear in the market, spiked 25 per cent to nearly 21-level.

New Covid variant causes bloodbath at D-Street, Sensex plunges 1,688 pts; Nifty ends at 17,026
NEW DELHI: The biggest market crash in seven months erased Rs 7.36 lakh crore of investor wealth on Friday as traders sold whatever they could as many countries detected a new mutation of the coronavirus. Benchmark indices broke many support levels placed on technical charts.

Nervousness on the new coronavirus variant and expectations of the US increasing the pace of tapering has led to recent market weakness, said analysts. India VIX, a measure that shows fear in the market, spiked 25 per cent to nearly 21-level.

The 30-share pack Sensex declined 1,687.94 points or 2.87 per cent to close at 57,107.15. Its broader peer NSE Nifty plunged 509.80 points or 2.91 per cent to 17,026.45.


“This trend may take some time to recover as the WHO meeting on the new mutant variant impact and hospitalization rates in US and Europe will be watched by the market very closely. The recent commodity prices correction can lower the raw material cost for certain sectors like consumer and help them to recover after a period of consolidation,” said Amit Gupta, Fund Manager – PMS, ICICI Securities.

Market at a glance:

  • Pharma names rally as rising Covid concerns brightens their outlook
  • Metal stocks plunge following the international trend as futures tank
  • It’s deja vu for travel and leisure sector stocks as they take a plunge
  • Tarsons Products hits 20 per cent upper circuit after listing
  • Tata Power slumps 7 per cent after JP Morgan downgrade

FACTORS DRIVING MARKETS
New Covid variant: Hours after South African authorities announced they had detected a new variant of the novel coronavirus with a “very unusual constellation” of mutations, the Centre directed states to rigorously screen and test travellers coming from or transiting through three countries in which the variant had been confirmed — South Africa, Botswana, and Hong Kong.

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More lockdowns: European countries expanded COVID-19 booster vaccinations and tightened curbs overnight. Slovakia announced a two-week lockdown, the Czech government will shut bars early and Germany crossed the threshold of 100,000 COVID-19-related deaths.

FII selling: Net-net, foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) turned sellers of domestic stocks to the tune of Rs 2,300.65 crore, data available with NSE suggested. This is much more than what DIIs have been buying. The selling has also dampened the spirit of investors.

Yields fall: Moves in Treasuries were also sharp following the Thanksgiving holiday and yields quickly pulled back some of the week's gains. Benchmark 10-year yields fell nearly 6 basis points to 1.5841 per cent.

Tata Power, M&M among 5 stocks that Jefferies says can plunge up to 54%
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After a stupendous rally, the fundamentals of some companies are suggesting their shares have gained too much for their own good. The revenue and margins may not keep up with the rally in share prices, hence, they are likely to fall now. Jefferies India stock analysts have factored this in their coverage universe. The brokerage house has suggested five names that are likely to plunge as much as 54 per cent from current levels.

After a stupendous rally, the fundamentals of some companies are suggesting their shares have gained too much for their own good. The revenue and margins may not keep up with the rally in share price..
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Tractor demand is weakening after double-digit growth in four of the last five years. After a few prudent capital decisions in 2020, we find MM's capital discipline loosening again. We are also skeptical of MM's ability to deliver on its target of 15-20 per cent revenue and EPS CAGR over FY21-25.

Tractor demand is weakening after double-digit growth in four of the last five years. After a few prudent capital decisions in 2020, we find MM's capital discipline loosening again. We are also skept..
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Even after factoring in strong top-line growth and all-time high margins at SMP/SMR, our FY22-24 EPS is 13-23 per cent below consensus. Stock is trading at a rich 28x FY23E versus the long-term average of 20x and 2015/2017 peaks of 28-29x.

Even after factoring in strong top-line growth and all-time high margins at SMP/SMR, our FY22-24 EPS is 13-23 per cent below consensus. Stock is trading at a rich 28x FY23E versus the long-term avera..
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Lupin has three USFDA non-compliant facilities that are not generating enough asset turns, Goa facility was recently inspected and resulted in eight observations. A large chunk of Lupin’s US and India portfolio consists of licensed products that are low margin products with low growth potential. Increasing raw material costs, operating and royalty expenses pose challenges to near term earnings.

Lupin has three USFDA non-compliant facilities that are not generating enough asset turns, Goa facility was recently inspected and resulted in eight observations. A large chunk of Lupin’s US and Indi..
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Its pricing power has weakened drastically which reflects in the 290 bps margin decline from 18.2% in FY13 to 15.3% in FY19, despite FY16 and FY19 seeing 19% YoY growth in domestic genset sales. Return ratios will bear the brunt of the demand overestimation, capping ROE to 18% levels despite recovery in FY22E.

Its pricing power has weakened drastically which reflects in the 290 bps margin decline from 18.2% in FY13 to 15.3% in FY19, despite FY16 and FY19 seeing 19% YoY growth in domestic genset sales. Retu..
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Management outlined a plan for 15% revenue and 25% profit CAGR between FY20-25E and 12% ROE by FY25E from 6%. Our concern remains that a competitive landscape and capex will keep ROE below 13% in the medium term. Renewable energy asset monetization is key for debt reduction and plans are seeing delays.

Management outlined a plan for 15% revenue and 25% profit CAGR between FY20-25E and 12% ROE by FY25E from 6%. Our concern remains that a competitive landscape and capex will keep ROE below 13% in the..
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Among the bluechip names, Cipla was the top gainer, rising 7.23 per cent. Dr Reddy’s Labs, Divi’s Labs and Nestle India were other gainers.
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JSW Steel was the top loser in the Nifty pack, falling 7.48 per cent. Tata Motors, Hindalco Industries, Adani Ports, IndusInd Bank, BPCL, Maruti Suzuki and Tata Steel were others that ended in the red.

Broader market indices ended lower, in line with their headline peers. Nifty Smallcap dropped 2.89 per cent and Nifty Midcap plunged 3.25 per cent. Nifty 500, the broadest index on NSE, ended down 2.93 per cent.
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Indiabulls Housing Finance, PNB Housing Finance, Trident, Alkem Laboratories, Dr Lal Pathlabs and Pfizer were top gainers from mid and smallcap indices, climbing in the range of 4-7per cent.

Traders should continue with the bearish bias and use the bounce to create shorts. Investors, on the other hand, should see this as an opportunity and start accumulating quality stocks in a staggered manner.

-Ajit Mishra, Religare Broking


National Aluminium Company, Shriram Transport Finance, Delta Corps, RBL Bank, Chambal Fertilisers and SpiceJet were major losers from broader market space, falling in the range of 7-10 per cent.

Barring Nifty Pharma, which gained 1.7 per cent, all sectoral indices traded with cuts. Nifty Realty was the biggest loser, down 6.26 per cent. Nifty Metal, Nifty PSU Bank and Nifty Auto were other major losers.

Market breadth was in favour of losers as 1,067 stocks ended in the green, while 2,244 names settled with cuts. As many as 237 securities hit 52-week highs, mostly from the smallcap space. Meanwhile, 34 names hit 52-week lows, mostly from the microcap space. About 395 stocks hit upper circuit limits and 180 lower circuit limits.

European markets were trading lower. London-based FTSE was down 2.66 per cent while Paris and Frankfurt declined 3.18 per cent and 2.55 per cent, respectively. In Asia, all markets closed in the red.
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